The Philadelphia Phillies (44-19) and New York Mets (27-35) open a 2-Game set as part of the MLB World Tour London Series Saturday. First pitch from London Stadium is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Phillies lead 3-1
The Mets are riding a 3-game win streak, their 2nd-longest of the season. New York swept the Washington Nationals in 3 games in its last series, wrapping it up with a 9-1 road victory in the finale Wednesday. It is 5-10 over its last 15 games. The Mets sit 3rd in the NL East and are 29-33 against the spread (ATS) on the season.
The Phillies have also won 3 in a row, sweeping the Milwaukee Brewers at home Monday through Wednesday. They closed out that series with a 2-0 win, holding the Brewers to just 2 runs in all 3 games combined. The Phillies are 6-1 over their last 7 games and sit atop the NL East. They are 36-27 ATS on the season.
Phillies vs. Mets projected starters
LHP Ranger Suarez vs. LHP Sean Manaea
Suarez (9-1, 1.70 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 0.80 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 74 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 2 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 6-1 home victory over St. Louis Cardinals Saturday
- 2024 road splits: 4-1, 1.85 ERA (34 IP, 7 ER), 0.65 WHIP, 3 HR, 9.3 K/9 in 5 starts
- Career vs. Mets: 3-3, 3.56 ERA (43 IP, 17 ER), 40 H, 18 BB, 30 K in 7 starts and 7 relief appearances
Manaea (3-2, 3.63 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 57 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 10 K in 10-5 home setback to Arizona Diamondbacks Saturday
- 2024 road splits: 3-0, 2.81 ERA (25 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 1 HR, 7.0 K/9 in 5 starts
- Career vs. Phillies (regular season): 1-1, 3.52 ERA (15 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 14 H, 5 BB, 15 K in 2 starts and 2 relief appearances
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Phillies vs. Mets odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:14 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies -162 (bet $162 to win $100) | Mets +136 (bet $100 to win $136)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-105) | Mets +1.5 (-114)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -118 | U: -104)
Phillies vs. Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 6, Mets 3
Moneyline
PASS.
The Phillies (-162) are on fire, while the Mets are not, and with Philadelphia having one of its best pitchers take the mound, expect it to come out on top. However, at -162, it isn’t worth a moneyline play.
Run line/Against the spread
BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+100).
Philadelphia has been both dominant as of late and with Suarez on the mound. It has covered in 5 of its last 7 games and is 30-23 ATS as a favorite this season, the 3rd-best ATS record as a favorite in the majors.
The Phillies are 11-1 ATS with Suarez on the mound, losing just once. Only 1 of those games, a 5-4 win over the Atlanta Braves as underdogs March 31, was within 1 run as well. As for the Mets, they are just 18-16 ATS as underdogs, which ranks in the bottom half of the league, and lost 10-5 in Manaea’s last start.
That said, play PHILLIES -1.5 (+100).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 9.5 (-104).
The Phillies have gone Under in 4 straight games and are 0-7-1 O/U in their last 8. They are 28-32-4 O/U on the season. Philadelphia is 0-2-1 O/U in Suarez’s last 3 starts.
The Mets have been the opposite as of late, going 5-0-1 O/U in their last 6, but they are 4-6-1 O/U in their last 10. New York has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 2 straight games, so it might be able to limit the high-powered Phillies offense.
Back UNDER 9.5 (-104).
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