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Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres Prediction 7-26-24 Picks

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San Diego Padres (55-50) vs. Baltimore Orioles (61-41)
July 26, 2024 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles -208 / San Diego Padres +173; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego Padres and the Baltimore Orioles meet Friday in MLB action from Oriole Park. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

This week the Padres took on the Washington Nationals. After wins 4-0 and 12-3 in the first two installments of that set, on Thursday San Diego posted a 3-0 shutout win. Oddly enough, San Diego scored all of their runs in the first inning and Dylan Cease did the rest with a brilliant no-hitter.

Adam Mazur will start for the Padres on Friday. This year Mazur is 1-3 with a 7.84 ERA and 21 strikeouts.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

Over on the Orioles’ side, they played the Miami Marlins in their last set. Baltimore lost 6-3 in each of the first two Games. In the finale the O’s staved off the sweep with a 7-6 victory. Starter Corbin Burnes lasted 7.1 innings with three earned runs.

As starting pitcher Friday, Baltimore is sending out Grayson Rodriguez. This year Rodriguez is 12-4 with a 3.83 ERA in 18 starts. Over his 41 career starts Rodriguez is 19-8 with a 4.11 ERA.

Orioles vs Padres Pick Injury Notes

Orioles 2B Jorge Mateo (elbow) is expected to miss “a significant amount of time” according to manager Brandon Hyde.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Padres’ last nine night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Orioles’ last seven games following an extra innings win have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last five road games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last five home games against NL West opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ramon Urias has recorded a Single in each of his last seven appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded an RBI in four of the Orioles’ last five games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Anthony Santander has scored a run in eight of the Orioles’ last nine home games against NL West opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded an RBI in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Luis Arraez has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 Friday appearances against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Jurickson Profar has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last two night games.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored at least one run in six of the Padres’ last seven games against the Orioles.
  • Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.

Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres Prediction

I’ll lean toward the O’s, but I’m probably not touching this one due to the rather hefty line. Rodriguez has a couple of victories in his last three Games, as well as one rough loss. In the loss Rodriguez posted six earned in 5.0 innings. During the two wins combined, Rodriguez was much better on five earned over 12.0 innings.

On Thursday the Orioles needed 10 innings to fend off the struggling Marlins, blowing a 6-0 lead along the way. Baltimore isn’t looking great after that series, so a strong performance here is much needed.

Andrew's Free Pick: Baltimore Orioles -208

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