The Philadelphia Phillies (90-60) and the Milwaukee Brewers (87-63) play the middle contest of a 3-game series on Tuesday. First pitch from American Family Field is set for 7:40 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Phillies lead 3-1
The Phillies swept the Brewers at Citizen Bank Park June 3-5 in 3 low-scoring Games. However, Milwaukee turned the tables and won 6-2 in Monday’s series opener as a slight underdog (-102), as it was just an awful night for Philadelphia professional Sports teams and fans. The total (8) pushed at most shops.
Despite the loss, Philadelphia is still 5-2 in the past 7 games, although the Phillies have dropped 3 in a row on the road. The Over is 6-3-1 across the past 10 outings, with Philadelphia averaging 4.9 runs per game (RPG), while allowing 5.0 RPG.
Milwaukee has picked up the pace with 4 wins in the past 5 outings, while going 4-0 in the past 4 games as an underdog on the run line. The Over is 2-0-1 in the past 3 outings.
Phillies at Brewers projected starters
RHP Zack Wheeler vs. RHP Frankie Montas
Wheeler (15-6, 2.60 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 179 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H (1 HR), 3 BB, 9 K in 3-2 home victory vs. Tampa Bay Rays last Wednesday
- 2024 road splits: 5-3, 2.99 ERA, 78 1/3 IP, 26 ER, 9 HR, 1.01 WHIP, .186 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 22 BB, 84 K in 13 starts
- Last 7 games: 4-1, 2.09 ERA, 43 IP, 10 ER, 8 BB, 51 K, 0.93 WHIP
- Career vs. Brewers: 4-2, 2.53 ERA, 64 IP, 18 ER, 5 HR, 12 BB, 72 K, 1.08 WHIP in 10 starts (1 CG)
Montas (7-10, 4.49 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 138 1/3 IP with the Cincinnati Reds and Brewers.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 3-0 road victory vs. San Francisco Giants Thursday
- Post All-Star Game: 3-3, 4.67 ERA, 54 IP, 28 ER, 6 HR, 24 BB, 59 K, 1.35 WHIP, .238 OBA in 10 starts
- Last 7 games: 2-2, 3.15 ERA, 40 IP, 14 ER, 24 H, 18 BB, 45 K, 1.05 WHIP in 7 starts
- Career vs. Phillies: 1-1, 5.06 ERA, 10 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 2 HR, 4 BB, 11 K, 1.41 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 in 2 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Phillies at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 7:04 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Brewers +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+115) | Brewers +1.5 (-140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
Phillies at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 4, Brewers 2
Moneyline
The PHILLIES (-150) are a strong play as moderate favorites behind the dominant Wheeler, as they look to exact a little revenge after getting dropped in the series opener.
While Montas has been a little better for the Brewers (+125) since coming over from the Cincinnati Reds at the non-waiver trade deadline, he doesn’t hold a candle to the 15-Game winner.
Run line/Against the spread
If you’re a little more adventurous, consider PHILLIES -1.5 (+115) on the run line, rather than playing the moneyline.
Philadelphia has 8 wins in the past 12 Games, with 5 of those victories coming as a favorite on the run line. And, in Wheeler’s past 3 starts, the Phillies have outscored the opposition 22-4, so there’s that.
Over/Under
UNDER 7.5 (-120) is worth a look in this middle game of the set.
The total has gone low in 4 of the past 5 starts by Wheeler, while splitting 3-3-1 in the team’s past 7 games.
For the Brew Crew, the total has gone low at a 7-3-1 clip in the past 11 games, and the total has gone low in 4 of the past 5 outings by Montas.
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