MLB
NY Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction 7-9-24 Picks
Washington Nationals (42-49) vs. NY Mets (44-45)
July 9, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -138 / Washington Nationals +127; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Washington Nationals and NY Mets meet Tuesday in MLB Game 1 action at Citi Field. Here’s a NY Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction. This article will include a NY Mets vs Washington Nationals Pick.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 42-49 on the year after Games against the Rays and Cardinals. The Washington Nationals have scored 17 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 Games. The Washington Nationals have lost 6 of their last 9 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. CJ Abrams leads the Washington Nationals with 92 hits and 46 RBI, while Luis Garcia Jr. and Jesse Winker have combined for 154 hits and 85 RBI.
NY Mets Betting Preview
The NY Mets look to get to a .500 record after playing the Astros and Pirates. The NY Mets have scored 10 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 10 of their last 14 Games. The NY Mets have won 12 of their last 15 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Francisco Lindor leads the NY Mets with 90 hits and 45 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 161 hits and 103 RBI.
Washington Nationals vs NY Mets Pitching Pick Matchup
Jake Irvin gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 7-6 with a 2.80 ERA and 94 strikeouts this season. Irvin has allowed 2 hits and 1 run in his last 14 innings. Irvin has a 2.35 ERA and .183 allowed batting average in 65 road innings. Irvin is 1-1 with a 4.26 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the NY Mets.
Jose Quintana gets the ball for the NY Mets, and he is 3-5 with a 4.22 ERA and 66 strikeouts this season. Quintana has allowed 10 hits and 2 runs in his last 11 innings. Quintana has a 3.59 ERA and .241 allowed batting average in 42.2 home innings. Quintana is 2-1 with a 2.73 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals.
Why the Washington Nationals will Beat the Mets
- The underdogs have won five of the Mets’ last six games at Citi Field.
- The Mets have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a loss.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last six road games following a home loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 12 games as home favorites against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- J.D. Martinez has recorded a Double in three of the Mets’ last four home games against NL opponents.
- Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two home games against the Nationals.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last five home games against NL opponents.
- Brandon Nimmo has scored at least one run in each of his last seven home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Jose Quintana has recorded four or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Mets as home favorites.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Lane Thomas has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last four games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Lane Thomas has recorded a Double in three of the Nationals’ last four road games against NL opponents.
- Lane Thomas has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Nationals’ last six road games against NL opponents.
- Lane Thomas has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Nationals’ last six road games against NL opponents.
- CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in each of the Nationals’ last seven road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances at Citi Field.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances at Citi Field.
NY Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction
The NY Mets are going to be favored because they’re playing the better ball, and they’re at home. However, there’s not much separating the Nats and Mets on the season and Jake Irvin has been solid this season with an ERA under 3, and he’s been even better on the road. Jose Quintana just isn’t a pitcher I’m excited to back in the favorite role, as he’s past his prime in his 13th season and appears to be just a guy at this stage. The value is with the Nationals and the more favorable price.
Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Washington Nationals +127
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