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NY Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 4-15-24 Picks

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Pittsburgh Pirates (11-5) vs. NY Mets (7-8)
April 15, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -123 / Pittsburgh Pirates +105; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the New York Mets meet Monday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this Game. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets prediction.

Pittsburgh Pirates Team Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this one fresh off of salvaging a series split with their 9-2 win over the Phillies in Sunday’s series finale. Ke’Bryan Hayes leads the Pirates with 18 hits including 5 doubles while Bryan Reynolds has 17 hits with 5 doubles of his own, 2 home runs and a team-high 11 RBIs. ONeil Cruz also has a team-high 3 homers but leads the Pirates with 26 strikeouts as well this season. Edward Olivares also has 3 home runs of his own while Connor Joe’s added 5 doubles. Martin Perez is slated to get the start for the Pirates here and is 1-0 with a 1.89 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Team Facts

  • The Pirates have lost each of their last six games at Citi Field following a win.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last 10 road games after playing the previous day.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last four night games against National League opponents.
  • The Pirates have led after 7 innings in four of their last six games as road underdogs.

New York Mets Team Preview

The New York Mets come into this Game looking to build on a 2-1 win over Kansas City in Sunday’s rubber match. Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 6 home runs along with 15 strikeouts and 10 RBIs while Brandon Nimmo has 2 home runs and a team-high 12 RBIs. Francisco Alvarez has a team-high 4 doubles while Starling Marte and Brett Baty each have a team-high 17 hits with Marte logging a team-high 3 stolen bases. Adrian Houser is tabbed as the starter here and is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season.

New York Mets Team Facts

  • The Mets have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against National League opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in 10 of the Mets’ last 11 games at Citi Field.
  • The Mets have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Mets have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four games as home favorites against National League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last three games as favorites against NL Central opponents.

Pirates vs. Mets Prediction

I’m on the Pirates in this one. It can be a bit imposing that the Mets have one of the best hitting lineups in baseball against lefties, but the Mets had issues against another lefty in Cole Ragans in that Royals series, and Martin Perez has been pitching extremely well out of the gate up to this point. I think this is a good value spot once again as the Pirates continue to play well despite blatant disrespect from oddsmakers. Give me the Pirates and the plus money here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Pittsburgh +105

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