NFL

NY Jets vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction 11-17-24 NFL Picks

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6s ago

Nov 13, 2024 / 1081 Views

Evan Walker

Indianapolis Colts (4-6) vs. NY Jets (3-7)
November 17, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: NY Jets -3.5; Over/Under: +45.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Indianapolis Colts and New York Jets meet Sunday in week 11 NFL action at MetLife Stadium. Here’s a NY Jets vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction. This article will include a NY Jets vs Indianapolis Colts Pick.

Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview

The Indianapolis Colts lost to the Vikings and Bills, and they play the Lions next. The Indianapolis Colts have lost 4 of their last 5 road Games. Joe Flacco is completing 66.5 percent of his passes for 1,167 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Alec Pierce and Josh Downs have combined for 999 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Michael Pittman Jr. has 30 receptions.

The Indianapolis Colts ground Game is averaging 121.3 yards per contest, and Jonathan Taylor leads the way with 616 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Indianapolis is allowing 22.3 points and 386.7 yards per Game. Zaire Franklin leads the Indianapolis Colts with 105 tackles, DeForest Buckner has 3.5 sacks and Jaylon Jones has 2 interceptions.

New York Jets Betting Preview

The New York Jets lost to the Cardinals, beat the Texans, and play the Seahawks next. The New York Jets have split their last 4 home Games. Aaron Rodgers is completing 62.4 percent of his passes for 2,258 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Garrett Wilson and Allen Lazard have combined for 1,116 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while Breece Hall has 39 receptions.

The New York Jets ground game is averaging 86.8 yards per contest, and Hall leads the way with 554 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, New York is allowing 21.4 points and 302.3 yards per game. Jamien Sherwood leads the New York Jets with 97 tackles, Will McDonald IV has 8 sacks and Brandin Echols has 2 interceptions.

Why the New York Jets will win

The Colts have lost each of their last 11 games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
The home team has won each of the Jets’ last four games.
The home team has covered the spread in each of the Jets’ last four games.
The Colts have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four November games as underdogs against AFC East opponents.
The Colts have won the first quarter in eight of their last 12 games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
The Jets have won the first half in seven of their last eight Week 11 home games against AFC opponents.

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

Davante Adams has scored at least one touchdown in nine of his last 10 appearances against AFC South opponents.
Braelon Allen has recorded 32+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Jets’ last five Sunday games as favorites.
Aaron Rodgers has recorded 297+ passing yards in five of his six previous November appearances against AFC South opponents.
Allen Lazard has recorded 33+ receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a home favorite against AFC opponents.
Aaron Rodgers has recorded 22+ rushing yards in each of his last five Sunday appearances at MetLife Stadium.
Aaron Rodgers has recorded 23+ completions in seven of his last eight November appearances against AFC opponents.
Aaron Rodgers has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last 15 appearances against AFC South opponents.
Heading into Week 11, Garrett Wilson ranks 2nd in the NFL in receptions (65) this season.

Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Facts

Jonathan Taylor has scored the first touchdown in four of his last five appearances with the Colts as underdogs on the East Coast.
Jonathan Taylor has scored at least one touchdown in seven of his eight previous appearances against AFC East opponents.
Michael Pittman Jr. has recorded 61+ receiving yards in five of his last six November appearances.
Jonathan Taylor has recorded 86+ rushing yards in six of his last seven November appearances against AFC opponents.
Jonathan Taylor has recorded 108+ rushing and receiving yards in five of his last six appearances with the Colts as underdogs against AFC opponents.
Heading into Week 11, Alec Pierce ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (22.4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

Heading into Week 11, the Jets rank 2nd in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (168.3) this season.
Heading into Week 11, the Jets rank 30th in the NFL in rushing yards per game (86.8) this season.
Heading into Week 11, the Colts rank T1st in the NFL in forced fumbles (12) this season.
Heading into Week 11, the Colts rank T1st in the NFL in fumbles recovered (9) this season.

NY Jets vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction

The NY Jets are going to get the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home and on paper they’re a good team. You’re just kind of waiting for things to click. The problem is the Jets are 3-7 SU and look more and more disinterested by the week. The Jets are also 3-7 ATS on the season and 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 Games as a favorite. Eight of those failed covers were outright losses. I’m not all that high on the Colts, but at least we’re getting points on that side. It’s the Colts and the points or pass for me.