The New York Yankees (79-58) and Texas Rangers (65-72) open a 3-game series Monday at Globe Life Field at 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 2-1

The Yanks dropped 2 of 3 to the St. Louis Cardinals over the weekend. Sunday’s Game was a laugher as they were smoked 14-7. OF Aaron Judge went 1-for-12 with 7 K’s in the series. The Yanks are clinging to a half-Game lead over the Baltimore Orioles in the AL East.

The Rangers have won 5 of 6 as they’re still mathematically alive, but remain 9 1/2 games out of a Wild Card berth and 10 out in the division. They took down the Oakland A’s 6-4 in 10 innings Sunday.

Yankees at Rangers projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. RHP Jack Leiter

Cole (5-3, 3.86 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 63 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 7 K Tuesday against Washington Nationals
  • Last 5 regular-season starts vs. Texas: 1-1, 2.79 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 44 K in 29 IP

Leiter (0-1, 12.83 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 2.40 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 13 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 4 K Wednesday against Chicago White Sox
  • Has never faced Yankees
  • Utilizes 4-seam fastball (96 mph avg velo), slider, curveball, changeup and cutter

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Yankees at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:33 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Rangers +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (-115) | Rangers +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Yankees at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 7, Rangers 5

Moneyline

Leiter, the son of former New York Mets great Al Leiter, has not fared well in his young MLB career, yielding 19 ER in 13 1/3 IP thus far. The Yankees are the clear side to take here, but the price is not right.

So, let’s SGP YANKEES ML + JUAN SOTO OVER 0.5 HITS (+105). Soto has hits in 3 straight and was 4-for-14 (.286) over the weekend.

Run line/Against the spread

We’re pegging the Yanks to cover the RL here, but I don’t like taking a RL at minus odds.

PASS.

Over/Under

My favorite bet in this matchup is the Over. It’s slated to be 83 degrees with an 8-mph wind blowing out to straightaway center. We have a rookie pitcher who can’t get outs, and Cole hasn’t really been himself since coming off of injury either.

Take the OVER 8.5 (-120).

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