The New York Mets (72-64) and Chicago White Sox (31-106) conclude their 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mets lead 2-0
New York won its 3rd game in a row and 2nd straight over the White Sox, 5-3 on Saturday after a 5-1 win Friday. Starter Jose Quintana held Chicago to 2 R (1 ER) in 5 IP on Saturday as LF Jesse Winker went 3-for-3 with a 2-run HR and 1B Pete Alonso also went deep. The Mets are 6-3 on their road trip which concludes Sunday.
Starter Davis Martin gave up 3 runs in the 1st inning and the White Sox never recovered. RBIs came from RF Corey Julks, DH Gavin Sheets, and 3B Miguel Vargas. It was Chicago’s 9th consecutive loss and 13th in the last 14 games.
Mets at White Sox projected starters
LHP Sean Manaea vs. LHP Garrett Crochet
Manaea (10-5, 3.51 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 143 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 11 K in 8-3 road victory against Arizona Diamondbacks Tuesday
- 2024 away splits: 5-2, 3.18 ERA (70 2/3 IP, 26 R (25 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 13 starts
- Career vs White Sox: 2-0, 2.81 ERA (16 IP, 5 ER), 0.94 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 3 games
Crochet (6-9, 3.64 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 12.6 K/9 in 128 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 6-2 victory at San Francisco Giants Aug. 21
- 2024 home splits: 4-6, 3.39 ERA (71 2/3 IP, 30 R (27 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 11.4 K/9 in 15 games
- First start vs. Mets
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Mets at White Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:07 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | White Sox +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Mets -1.5 (-105) | White Sox +1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Mets at White Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 4, White Sox 2
Moneyline
PASS.
No doubt in my mind that the Mets (-175) will sweep this series on Sunday, but definitely not taking those odds. I’ll take my wager to the run line.
Run line/Against the spread
BET METS -1.5 (-105).
Taking the Mets -1.5 (-105) against the White Sox on Sunday is a solid play. The Mets have been pretty strong on the road, going 37-31, and Manaea has been a big part of that. They also hit better against lefties, which is great news for this matchup. Plus, they’re looking to cap off their 10-game road trip on a high note after sweeping the Colorado Rockies.
Meanwhile, the White Sox are a mess with just 11 wins in day games and a 56-80 record against the run line this season. The Mets should cover the spread pretty easily.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8 (-105).
Going with the Under seems like a smart choice. These teams have gone under in 8 of their last 10 meetings, and the White Sox have hit the Under in their last 5 games and the Mets in their last 3. Plus, Crochet has allowed more than 3 ER only once in his last 22 starts, and Manaea hasn’t given up more than 3 ER in his last 7 starts. With these trends, a low-scoring game looks pretty likely.
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