The Miami Heat (2-1) welcome the New York Knicks (1-2) to Kaseya Center Wednesday. Tip is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Knicks vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Knicks won 2-1 last season
The Heat beat the Detroit Pistons 106-98 Monday, closing as an 8.5-point home favorite. They have won 2 straight, also beating the Charlotte Hornets on the road Saturday after losing their opener to the Orlando Magic. Miami is 1-2 against the spread (ATS) and is led by G Terry Rozier, who is averaging 19.3 points per game (PPG).
The Knicks have opened against 3 teams wth championship aspirations — the Cleveland Cavaliers, Indiana Pacers and Boston Celtics. New York is coming off a 110-104 home loss to the Cavaliers, closing as a 3-point favorite. It is 1-2 ATS, having only covered in a 123-98 win over the Pacers. The Knicks are led by G Jalen Brunson, who is averaging 23 PPG.
Knicks at Heat odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:37 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Knicks -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Heat +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Against the spread (ATS): Knicks -1.5 (-120) | Heat +1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Knicks at Heat key injuries
Knicks
- C Precious Achiuwa (hamstring) out
- F Josh Hart (leg) questionable
- C Mitchell Robinson (ankle) out
Heat
- F Kevin Love (personal) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Knicks at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Knicks 110, Heat 104
Moneyline
PASS.
While the Knicks (-135) should come out on top, the spread offers a better value.
Against the spread
BET KNICKS -1.5 (-120).
The Knicks have yet to really unlock what they’re capable of, and they’ve only been playing top-tier opponents, having destroyed the Pacers by 25. Despite losing to the Cavaliers and Celtics, the Knicks have more capable playmakers and have 4 of their top-5 scorers shooting at least 50% from the field. That efficiency should make a difference.
None of the Heat’s top-6 scorers shoot 50% or better from the field, and the Heat have scored 106 points or fewer in 2 of 3 games against weaker competition. The Heat are just 1-2 ATS and were destroyed by 19 points at home against their lone quality opponent. That said, expect the Knicks to take care of business much like Orlando did in Miami.
Back KNICKS -1.5 (-120).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 214.5 (-110).
Neither team has consistently scored through three games. The Knicks have scored 109 points or fewer in 2 of 3 games and have gone Under the projected total in 2 of 3 as well. They have held opponents to under 110 points in 2 of 3 and below 100 once.
The Heat, who have been among the best defensive teams over the last few seasons, have allowed 106 points or fewer in 2 of 3 and are 1-2 O/U as well. They have scored under 106 points in 2 of 3 as well, and their inefficiencies from top weapons have already been noted.
That said, expect one team to struggle offensively and back UNDER 214.5 (-110).
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