The New Jersey Devils (35-33-4) make the 2nd stop of a 3-game road trip on Tuesday against the Toronto Maple Leafs (40-21-9) at Scotiabank Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+/hulu). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Devils vs. Maple Leafs odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Season series: First of 3 meetings between now and April 11; Maple Leafs won 2-1 in 2022-23
The Devils have picked up 3 wins in the past 4 games, including a 4-0 shutout of the New York Islanders last time out as the Under (6.5) cashed. The Devils are 3-0 as an underdog in the past 3 outings, while going 4-1 on the puck line in the past 5 as a ‘dog.
The Maple Leafs suffered a 2-1 loss in Carolina on Sunday, but Toronto is still a solid 7-4-1 across the past 12 outings, while going 4-1-1 in the past 6 skates on home ice.
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Devils at Maple Leafs odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:43 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Devils +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Maple Leafs -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Devils +1.5 (-190) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Devils at Maple Leafs projected goalies
Jake Allen (9-14-3, 3.41 GAA, .898 SV%, 2 SO) vs. Ilya Samsonov (19-6-7, 3.12 GAA, .889 SV%, 2 SO)
Allen was tuned up by the Ottawa Senators last time out, allowing 5 goals on 25 shots in a loss Saturday. However, he had won 3 of his first 4 starts, allowing a total of 7 goals on 130 shots since being acquired from the Montreal Canadiens at the NHL trade deadline.
Allen allowed 5 goals on 42 shots in a 6-5 shootout loss in Toronto on Oct. 11 in his only appearance against the Leafs this season as a member of the Canadiens.
Samsonov allowed 3 goals on 34 shots in a 6-3 win against the Edmonton Oilers on Saturday. He is 5-1-1 with a 2.67 GAA and .915 SV% in 7 starts in March.
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Devils at Maple Leafs picks and predictions
Prediction
Maple Leafs 4, Devils 3
Moneyline
The MAPLE LEAFS (-145) are worth a look as moderate favorites on home ice.
The Leafs have won 10 of the past 11 meetings since Nov. 9, 2018, outscoring the Devils (+120) by a 53-27 margin.
While New Jersey has won 3 of the past 4 games, the dominance in this series by Toronto cannot be overlooked, nor can Allen’s shabby performance against the Leafs when he was with the Habs earlier in the season.
Puck line/Against the spread
The Devils +1.5 (-190) are just a little too expensive if you need a little insurance, and cannot take New Jersey straight up.
And while the Maple Leafs -1.5 (+155) have dominated this series, the past 4 meetings have each been decided by a single goal, so you can’t roll the dice on the puck line with the favorite.
AVOID.
Over/Under
OVER 6.5 (-120) is worth a look, but go with a half-unit at most.
The Over cashed in the most recent meeting, but the Under is 3-1 in the past 4 in the series, so be careful.
For Devils, the Under has outpaced the Over 7-3 in the past 10 games, with the Under going 5-1 in the past 6 games on the road.
As far as the Leafs are concerned, though, the total has gone high in 5 of the past 6 games, with the offense averaging 4.5 goals per game (GPG) in the past 6 outings, while allowing 3.4 GPG in the past 5 contests. The lean is to the Over.
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