College Football
NCAAF Week 13 parlay picks at +988 odds, Friday 11/24 | Pickswise
You don’t have to wait until Saturday to immerse yourself in college football Week 13 action. There were MAC games on Tuesday, the Egg Bowl between Ole Miss and Mississippi State took place on Thursday and now a whole feat of football is being served on Friday. This presents us with another great opportunity to come up with a lucrative mega parlay.
Below are my plays for Friday, and also be sure to check out all of our NCAAF picks.
UTSA ML (+150)
Boise State -9.5 alternate spread (+128)
Texas -12.5 (-110)
NCAAF parlay odds: +988
For this parlay we are going with 1 underdog on the money line and 2 favorites against the spread, 1 on an alternate number. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
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UTSA ML over Tulane (+150)
The early part of the season wasn’t promising for a UTSA team that was expected to take the American Athletic Conference by storm. Veteran quarterback Frank Harris played one of the worst Games of his career in an opening loss to Houston before getting injured and missing Games against Army and Tennessee. Since returning, however, Harris has been stellar under center while leading the Roadrunners to 7 straight victories in conference play. UTSA is stepping up defensively, as well. That unit is now 28th nationally in EPA per pass and 45th in EPA per play. Improvements on that side of the ball should serve the visitors well against a Tulane team that struggles to run the Football. The Green Wave defense 92nd in EPA per pass, which doesn’t bode well against Harris and a passing Game that has exploded since the start of conference play. I think this is a good spot for a UTSA upset.
Boise State -9.5 alternate spread over Air Force (+128)
This is a Mountain West clash that has conference championship implications. UNLV leads the MWC at 6-1, but the Rebels face 5-2 San Jose State on Saturday. Boise and Air Force are both 5-2, as well, and there are going to be a host of weird tiebreakers that come into play if UNLV takes a loss. We know one thing for sure: the loser of Friday’s contest definitely won’t be playing for the MWC title. Air Force comes into this game riding an ugly 3-game losing streak after starting the season 8-0. The worst of those losses was at Hawaii, but the Falcons also fell to Army and last week at home against UNLV. Boise State, on the other hand, has gone in the other direction. The Broncos started slow but hit their stride in conference play. Their 2 losses have come on the road (at Fresno State, at Colorado State) and they have been dominant at home. This should be a good matchup for Boise State, too. It is #30 in the country in rushing defense, well equipped to handle the Falcons’ triple-option attack. Don’t be surprised if the home team wins this one by double-digits.
Texas -12.5 over Texas Tech (-110)
Texas needs to win this Game to guarantee a spot in the conference championship while also keeping its hopes alive for the College Football Playoff. It probably will – and by a lot. The Longhorns have not been extremely efficient offensively in the last 6 weeks, but some of those inconsistencies can be attributed to quarterback Quinn Ewers missing a couple Games due to injury. Their passing attack has much more upside with Ewers under center, and it should take advantage of a Texas Tech defense that is 75th in points per opportunity allowed, 88th in success rate allowed and 106th in PPA since Week 7. The Red Raiders as a whole are simply mediocre. They are bowl eligible following last week’s win over UCF, but that’s about it. Texas has won each of the last 2 home Games in this matchup by at least 25 points. I don’t think they will have any trouble covering 12.5 points on Saturday.
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