The Boston Celtics have a shot to sweep the Dallas Mavericks Friday in Game 4 of the best-of-7 NBA Finals. Tip-off from American Airlines Center is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Celtics vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Series: Celtics lead 3-0
The Mavericks really needed to win Game 3 Wednesday to keep this series alive, but the Celtics prevailed 106-99 as 2.5-point road underdogs. F Jayson Tatum scored 31 points and F Jaylen Brown added 30 as Dallas moved within 1 win of a record 18th NBA championship — the Mavs and Lakers are tied with 17 each.
Dallas jumped out to a double-digit lead (25-12) but only led 31-30 after the 1st quarter and 51-50 at the half. Boston took over in the 3rd, outscoring Dallas 35-19 for an 85-70 advantage.
Behind a valiant comeback, Dallas cut the deficit to 93-92 with 3:37 to go, but the Mavericks couldn’t get any closer. It didn’t help that G Luka Doncic fouled out with 4:12 remaining. Doncic (27 points, 11-for-27 FG) and G Kyrie Irving (35 points, 13-for 28 FG) were the only Mavericks to attempt at least 10 shots.
- Game 4 best prop bets and predictions
Celtics at Mavericks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:21 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Celtics -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mavericks -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Celtics -1.5 (+100) | Mavericks +1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 211.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Celtics at Mavericks key injuries
Celtics
- F Kristaps Porzingis (leg) questionable
Mavericks
- G Luka Doncic (thoracic) probable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Celtics at Mavericks picks and predictions
Prediction
Celtics 108, Mavericks 99
Moneyline
Teams up 3-0 in the NBA Finals are 9-2 in Game 4’s, according to the Associated Press.
Boston hit 17 3-pointers in its Game 3 win, while Dallas sank 9 from deep. Reversing that discrepancy may be the only way for the Mavericks to win Game 4, but in the last 3 Games, the Mavericks averaged 7.3 made 3-pointers and the Celtics averaged 14.3 made 3’s.
BET CELTICS (-110).
Against the spread
BetMGM Sportsbook opened the game as a pick-em, and early movement had the Celtics as 1-point underdogs. As more money has come in, they are now the favorites.
At plus-money, Boston -1.5 (+100) is hard to overlook as it only needs to win by 2 points.
BET 1½ UNITS between the CELTICS ML (-110) and the CELTICS 1-5 (+100), but no more.
Over/Under
The NBA Finals have been an Under bettor’s dream. All 3 games have cashed Under tickets in this series and Dallas has yet to score 100 points in a game.
If the Mavericks don’t improve their shooting, scoring 100 is unlikely — they’ve shot 44.4% from the field in the first 3 games.
This current 211.5 line is the lowest of the series but it should finish Under as Dallas struggles to score.
LEAN UNDER 211.5 (-110).
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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