MLB St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Same Game Parlay picks

One of the best rivalries in baseball resumes on Friday afternoon as the Chicago Cubs host the St. Louis Cardinals in the second game of a 4-game series at Wrigley Field. Both teams are well out of the playoff picture at the moment, but the visitors are playing their best baseball of the season, while the hosts are sending their ace to the mound.

Below is my Same Game Parlay for this matchup, and also be sure to check out all of our MLB picks.

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Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+158)

Over 8.5 (-105)

Paul Goldschmidt to record a hit (-260)

Same Game Parlay odds: +538

Part of the value in Same Game Parlays, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case here, as Paul Goldschmidt getting a hit doesn’t necessarily correlate with a convincing Cubs win on paper.

Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+158)

Both teams are swinging the bats well, but Chicago has the clear advantage on the mound. The Cubs will be starting Justin Steele, who had a terrific first half of the campaign. His ERA is still below 3.00, which even includes a bad outing last week against the Red Sox in which he surrendered 6 runs. Steele dominated the Cardinals in London earlier this season, holding them to just 1 run in a hitters’ park.

Given how good Steele has been this season, I’m expecting him to turn in another strong performance. It’s hard to be as confident in Jack Flaherty, who has been the picture of inconsistency this season. I trust Steele and the Cubs offense at home, so let’s back the home team on Friday afternoon.

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