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Mississippi State vs Massachusetts Prediction 11-2-24 College Football Picks

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Massachusetts Minutemen (2-6) vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-7)
November 2, 2024 4:15 pm EDT
The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs -18.5 / Massachusetts Minutemen +18.5; Over/Under: +58
(Get latest betting odds)

The Massachusetts Minutemen and Mississippi State Bulldogs meet Saturday in week 10 college football action at Davis Wade Stadium. Here’s a Mississippi State vs Massachusetts Prediction. This article will include a Mississippi State vs Massachusetts Pick.

Umass Minutemen Betting Preview

The Umass Minutemen lost to Missouri, beat Wagner, and they play Liberty next. Massachusetts has lost 5 straight road games. Taisun Phommachanh is completing 57 percent of his passes for 1,541 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Jakobie Keeney-James and TY Harding have combined for 813 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Jacquon Gibson has 17 receptions.

The Umass Minutemen ground Game is averaging 136.3 yards per contest, and CJ Hester leads the way with 287 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Umass is allowing 30 points and 328 yards per Game. Jalen Stewart leads the Umass Minutemen with 52 tackles, Louce Julien has 2 sacks and Ryan Barnes has 1 interception.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs lost to Texas A&M and Arkansas, and they play Tennessee next. Mississippi State has lost 4 straight home Games. Michael Van Buren Jr. is completing 57.2 percent of his passes for 1,101 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Kevin Coleman Jr. and Mario Craver have combined for 991 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Seydou Traore has 26 receptions.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs ground Game is averaging 131.1 yards per contest, and Davon Booth leads the way with 396 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Mississippi State is allowing 36.4 points and 477.6 yards per Game. Isaac Smith leads the Mississippi State Bulldogs with 74 tackles, Branden Jennings has 1.5 sacks and Elijah Cannon has 1 interception.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

  • Massachusetts has lost each of its last 12 road games in November.
  • Mississippi State has won each of its last 10 November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Mississippi State has covered the spread in eight of its last 10 November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Massachusetts has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Mississippi State has won the first quarter in 29 of its last 33 games against non-conference opponents at Davis Wade Stadium.
  • Mississippi State has won the first half in 10 of its last 11 home games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Mississippi State’s last five home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Six of Massachusetts’ last eight November road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Mississippi State ranks 131st among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (14.8).
  • Mississippi State ranks 131st among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-7.3).
  • Massachusetts ranks 133rd among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-7.3).
  • Massachusetts ranks 6th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (157.5).

Mississippi State vs Massachusetts Prediction

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are a bad Football team that I’m not eager to back in the favorite role, especially the big favorite role. However, Mississippi State is 8-4-1 ATS in its last 13 Games as double-digit favorites. Despite how poorly Miss State has looked, there’s a massive talent gap between the Bulldogs and Massachusetts. UMass is 113th in total offense and 122nd in scoring offense. UMass is also 104th n scoring defense. If Mississippi State doesn’t win this Game comfortably at home, it’s time to reevaluate the entire program.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs -18.5

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