The Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets are playing in the second round of the NBA Playoffs, with Game 4 up next.

The Timberwolves are a 2.5-point favorite against the Nuggets when Timberwolves and Nuggets hit the court. The matchup’s over/under is set at 204.5.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Odds

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Saturday at 11:29 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

  • Spread: Minnesota -2.5
  • Total: 204.5
  • Moneyline: Minnesota -147, Denver +124

Nuggets at Timberwolves odds, spread, & more

Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Timberwolves (- 2.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (204.5)

  • Prediction:
    Timberwolves 113 – Nuggets 108

Moneyline

  • Minnesota has been chosen as the favorite in 61 Games this year and has walked away with the win 46 times (75.4%) in those Games.
  • This year, Minnesota has won 40 of 50 Games when listed as at least -147 or better on the moneyline.
  • Minnesota has an implied victory probability of 59.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Denver has been the underdog on the moneyline 10 total times this season. Denver has finished 4-6 in those Games.
  • Denver has gone 2-2 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +124 or longer (50%).
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, Denver has an implied win probability of 44.6%.

Against the spread

  • The 113 points per Game the Timberwolves score are just 3.4 more points than the Nuggets give up (109.6).
  • When Minnesota scores more than 109.6 points, it is 35-17-1 against the spread and 43-10 overall.
  • Denver has put together a 35-26-2 ATS record and a 53-10 overall record in Games it scores more than 106.5 points.
  • Minnesota is 36-22-3 against the spread and 51-10 overall when it gives up fewer than 114.9 points.
  • The Timberwolves are at the 18th spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (113 PPG), while the Nuggets allow the sixth-fewest points per Game (109.6) in the league.
  • Denver’s squad is currently the 14th-ranked scoring team in the NBA (114.9 PPG), while Minnesota’s team is best in points allowed per Game (106.5).
  • The Timberwolves have out-scored their opponents by a total of 529 points this season (6.5 points per Game on average), and the Nuggets have put up 431 more points than their opponents on the year (5.3 per Game).

Over/Under

  • Minnesota has an average implied point total of 113.9 this season, which is 9.9 points higher than its implied total in Sunday’s Game (104).
  • This season, Minnesota has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (104) 73 times.
  • Denver’s average implied point total on the season (116.5 points) is 15.5 points higher than its implied total in this matchup (101 points).

How to watch Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

  • Game Day: Sunday, May 12, 2024
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Arena: Target Center
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