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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 11-1-24 NBA Picks

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Denver Nuggets (2-2) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (2-2)
November 1, 2024 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Timberwolves -3.5; Over/Under: +217.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Denver Nuggets travel to the Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday night. Here’s a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

Denver Nuggets

The Denver Nuggets look to have moved on from their rocky start to the season as they are now gunning for a third straight victory after sneaking past the pesky Nets in a 144-139 overtime road win on Tuesday. Nikola Jokic led the team with a monster triple-double of 29 points with 18 rebounds and 16 assists, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon each scored 24 points while Russell Westbrook chipped in with 22 points and five assists off the bench.
As a team, the Nuggets shot 51 percent from the field and 13 of 27 from the 3-point line as they got off to a poor start and had to claw their way back from a 17-point deficit to send the game into overtime where they used a pivotal 8-0 run to cap off the impressive comeback.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves have split their first four games overall, but they will be hoping to bounce back in this one after getting beaten by the Mavericks in a 120-114 loss on Tuesday. Anthony Edwards drained seven 3-pointers to lead the team with 37 points, six rebounds and three assists on 12 of 20 shooting, Julius Randle added 20 points with seven rebounds and seven assists while Naz Reid chipped in with 14 points off the bench.
As a team, the Timberwolves shot 50 percent from the field and a sizzling 19 of 39 from the 3-point line as they poured in 34 points in the first quarter to take an early 10-point lead, but it didn’t last long at all as they leaked 67 points in the second and third quarters combined to run away from them. Mike Conley had a quiet game of just nine points on two of six shooting while Donte DiVincenzo scored just three points on one of six shooting off the bench. The Wolves will face the Spurs and Hornets following this one.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

  • The Timberwolves have won nine of their last 10 night games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Nuggets have lost each of their last four games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games.
  • The Timberwolves have covered the spread in five of their last six games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Nuggets.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Timberwolves’ last six home games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Eight of the Nuggets’ last nine games as underdogs against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The Nuggets are finally starting to build some momentum with a couple of wins in a row, but it hasn’t been easy with both wins coming in overtime. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves were playing some decent basketball before they got stopped in their tracks by the Mavericks in their last outing, but Edwards is coming off his best game of the season and Randle has looked solid with his new team. You could make an argument for either side here, but I think the Timberwolves escape with a narrow win and cover at home behind another big game from Edwards.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Minnesota -3.5

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