MLB

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 8-16-24 MLB Picks

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3m ago

Aug 16, 2024 / 3419 Views

Evan Walker

Cleveland Guardians (72-49) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (69-52)
August 16, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -117 / Cleveland Guardians +107; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Cleveland Guardians and Milwaukee Brewers meet Friday in MLB Game 1 action at American Family Field. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Pick.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 72-49 on the year after playing the Twins and Cubs. The Cleveland Guardians have scored 17 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Cleveland Guardians have lost 4 of their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jose Ramirez leads the Cleveland Guardians with 131 hits and 98 RBI, while Steven Kwan and Andres Gimenez have combined for 234 hits and 86 RBI.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 69-52 on the year after playing the Reds and Dodgers. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 13 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 Games. The Milwaukee Brewers have won 6 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 133 hits and 70 RBI, while Willy Adames and Brice Turang have combined for 223 hits and 130 RBI.

Cleveland Guardians vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Pick Matchup

Gavin Williams gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 2-4 with a 4.38 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. Williams has allowed 12 hits and 7 runs in his last 10 innings. Williams has a 0.84 ERA and .167 allowed batting average in 21.1 road innings. This will be Williams’ first career Game against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Aaron Civale gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 3-8 with a 5.02 ERA and 113 strikeouts this season. Civale has allowed 12 hits and 7 runs in his last 10.1 innings. Civale has a 3.78 ERA and .251 allowed batting average in 66.2 home innings. This will be Civale’s second career Game against the Cleveland Guardians.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will Beat the Guardians

The Brewers have won each of their last six games as underdogs following a win.
The Guardians have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs following a win.
The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Friday games against NL Central opponents.
The Guardians have lost the first inning in each of their last three road games against NL Central opponents.
The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against the Guardians.
The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against the Guardians.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

Christian Yelich has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 17 appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL opponents.
Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Brewers’ last four games against AL opponents.
Willy Adames has recorded at least one Double in three of the Brewers’ last four games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Christian Yelich has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers’ last four home games against AL Central opponents.
William Contreras has scored at least one run in each of the Brewers’ last nine Friday games against opponents that held a winning record.
William Contreras has hit a home run in four of the Brewers’ last five games as underdogs.
Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Guardians’ last 11 games as road favorites.
Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine road appearances against NL opponents.
Lane Thomas has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL opponents.
Josh Naylor has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Josh Naylor has hit a home run in each of the Guardians’ last two games as road favorites.
Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 11 games as road favorites.

Matchup/League Facts

The Milwaukee Brewers rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.72).
The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.332).
The Cleveland Guardians rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (476).
The Cleveland Guardians rank 3rd in the league for hits allowed this season (935).

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

The Cleveland Guardians are still extremely profitable for MLB bettors, but this second half hasn’t been great, and the offense continues to struggle. The Milwaukee Brewers have played good ball over the last week or so, and there’s value with them at home and the cheap price. Aaron Civale needs to get his act together, but you’d think things will come together at some point. Civale is too talented of a pitcher to continue to give up crooked numbers. Give me the Brewers in this near pick em spot at home.