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Mets vs Pirates Prediction - MLB Picks 6/11/23

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Pittsburgh Pirates (33-30) vs New York Mets (31-34)

Game Info: Sunday, June 11, 2023 at 1:35 pm (PNC Park)

Mitch Keller (7-2) (3.60) vs Carlos Carrasco (2-2) (5.94)

Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates +100 / New York Mets -120 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New York Mets will play the Pittsburgh Pirates in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. 

Mets Preview

The New York Mets are 31-34 this season and they have lost seven of their last eight Games. New York won Game 2 in this series by a score of 5-1 on Saturday afternoon. The New York pitching staff has a 4.73 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .253 opponent batting average this season. The Mets offense has scored 289 runs with a .242 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Brandon Nimmo is batting .286 with five home runs and 26 RBI’s for the Mets. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Carlos Carrasco, who is 2-2 with a 5.94 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 36.1 innings pitched this year. 

Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 33-30 this season and they have lost three of their last four Games. Pittsburgh won Game 1 in this series by a score of 14-7 on Friday night. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 281 runs with a .248 batting average and a .327 on base percentage this year. Jack Suwinski is batting .238 with 12 home runs and 32 RBI’s for the Pirates. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Mitch Keller, who is 7-2 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 80.0 innings pitched this year. 

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Trends

New York is 1-7 in their last 8 Games and 7-3 in their last 10 Games following a win. The over is 5-1-1 in New York’s last 7 Sunday Games. Pittsburgh is 7-3 in their last 10 Games and 6-21 in their last 27 Games against the NL East. The over is 3-1-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 5 Games. New York is 7-1 in these two teams last 8 head to head meetings. 

Pick

The Mets were able to snap their losing streak on Saturday and they will look to get the series win in this game. New York is starting Carlos Carrasco, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. Pittsburgh is starting Mitch Keller, who has allowed 15 earned runs over his last three starts (17.1 IP). I like the Mets to win this matchup. 

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