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Marlins vs Nationals Prediction - MLB Picks 6/16/23

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Washington Nationals (27-40) vs Miami Marlins (38-31)

Game Info: Friday, June 16, 2023 at 7:05 pm (Nationals Park)

Trevor Williams (3-4) (4.11) vs Sandy Alcantara (2-5) (4.75)

Betting Odds: Washington Nationals +160 / Miami Marlins -190 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Marlins will play the Washington Nationals in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at Nationals Park in Washington, DC.

Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins are 38-31 this season and they have won nine of their last twelve Games. Miami is coming off of a series loss to the Mariners, where they lost two out of three Games. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average this year. The Marlins offense has scored 274 runs with a .256 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Jorge Soler is batting .258 with 20 home runs and 40 RBI’s for the Marlins. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Sandy Alcantara, who is 2-5 with a 4.75 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 83.1 innings pitched this season.

Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals are 27-40 this season and they have lost eight of their last ten Games. Washington is coming off of a series loss against the Astros, where they lost two out of three Games. The Washington pitching staff has a 4.61 ERA, a 1.46 WHIP, and a .266 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 281 runs with a .260 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this season. Lane Thomas is batting .286 with nine home runs and 31 RBI’s for the Nationals. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Trevor Williams, who is 3-4 with a 4.11 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 65.2 innings pitched this year. 

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Trends

Miami is 9-3 in their last 12 Games and 16-35 in their last 51 Friday Games. The under is 4-0 in Miami’s last 4 Friday Games. Washington is 15-37 in their last 52 Friday Games and 12-39 in their last 51 Game one’s of a series. The over is 9-4 in Washington’s last 13 home Games. Miami is 20-6 in these two teams last 26 head to head meetings. 

Pick

The Marlins come into this Game in second place in the NL East and they are playing very good baseball right now. Miami is starting Sandy Alcantara, who has not been very good this year. Alcantara did pitch well in his last start against the White Sox, but allowed nine earned runs in his previous two starts. Washington is starting Trevor Williams, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. I like the Nationals at home in this spot. 

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