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Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction 7-26-24 Picks

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3m ago

Jul 27, 2024 / 4532 Views

Miami Marlins (37-66) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (59-43)
July 26, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -213 / Miami Marlins +177; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and Milwaukee Brewers meet Friday in MLB Game 1 action at American Family Field. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 37-66 on the year after playing the Mets and Orioles. The Miami Marlins have scored 18 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 straight Games. The Miami Marlins have won 4 of their last 6 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Bryan De La Cruz leads the Miami Marlins with 99 hits and 47 RBI, while Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Josh Bell have combined for 185 hits and 95 RBI.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 59-43 on the year after playing the Twins and Cubs. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 5 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 3 straight Games. The Milwaukee Brewers have lost 6 of their last 8 Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 113 hits and 57 RBI, while Willy Adames and Brice Turang have combined for 193 hits and 111 RBI.

Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Pick Matchup

Trevor Rogers gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 1-9 with a 4.59 ERA and 84 strikeouts this season. Rogers has allowed 18 hits and 7 earned runs in his last 18.2 innings. Rogers has a 4.37 ERA and .263 allowed batting average in 47.1 road innings. Rogers is 3-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 25 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Freddy Peralta gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 6-5 with a 3.88 ERA and 138 strikeouts this season. Peralta has allowed 16 hits and 7 runs in his last 15 innings. Peralta has a 4.50 ERA and .242 allowed batting average in 50 home innings. Peralta is 3-3 with a 4.19 ERA and 45 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will Beat the Marlins

The Marlins have lost each of their last four road games against teams that held a winning record.
The Brewers have won five of their last six games.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Friday games against NL Central opponents.
The Brewers have covered the run line in five of their last six games.
The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three road night games.
The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last nine road night games.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

Willy Adames has recorded a Double in four of the Brewers’ last five games as home favorites against NL opponents.
Willy Adames has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two games as favorites.
Gary Sanchez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Willy Adames has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Brewers’ last five games as favorites against NL opponents.
Rhys Hoskins has recorded two or more total bases in eight of his last nine home appearances against NL East opponents.
Freddy Peralta has recorded eight or more strikeouts in nine of his last 12 appearances with the Brewers as home favorites against NL opponents.
Willy Adames has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last eight games.
Christian Yelich has scored a run in 12 of his last 13 home appearances after not playing the previous day.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

Josh Bell has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four games as underdogs.
Trevor Rogers has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances against the Brewers.
Josh Bell has recorded an RBI in five of the Marlins’ last six games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Josh Bell has scored a run in each of the Marlins’ last four games.
Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Marlins’ last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Trevor Rogers has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven night games.
Josh Bell has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins’ last seven night games.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction

The Miami Marlins continue to be one of the worst teams in baseball, and I’m just not excited to back them, especially on the road. Trevor Rogers hasn’t been great since his rookie season, and this year hasn’t been much different. Freddy Peralta has been respectable this season, and these are Games the Brewers can’t afford to blow as they continue to pull away in the central. Can’t even consider the Marlins. Give me the Brewers and the RL for max betting value.