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Leylah Fernandez vs Daria Kasatkina Prediction 6-29-24 Picks

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Leylah Fernandez vs Daria Kasatkina
June 29, 2024 9:00 am EDT
The Line: Leylah Fernandez / Daria Kasatkina
(Get latest betting odds)

Leylah Fernandez and Daria Kasatkina meet Saturday in the 2024 Eastbourne Tennis final. Here’s a Leylah Fernandez vs Daria Kasatkina Prediction.

Leylah Fernandez Betting Preview

Leylah Fernandez is coming off a 3 set win over Madison Keys that took 27 Games to decide. In the victory, Fernandez won 70 percent of her first serve points and 47 percent of her second serve points. Fernandez won 62 percent of her total service points and converted on 4 of her 10 break points. Fernandez got 63 percent of her first serves in play and hit 2 aces. Fernandez won the match that lasted over two hours and cashed as a +175 underdog. Fernandez has now won 4 of her last 6 matches that have gone the distance. Fernandez looks to win her first title since last year’s Hong Kong Open and the fourth title of her career. Fernandez is 3-2 in previous final appearances, and this is her first final appearance on grass. Fernandez has won 6 of her last 7 matches on grass court.

Daria Kasatkina Betting Preview

Daria Kasatkina is coming off a 3 set win over Jasmine Paolini that took 30 Games to decide. In the victory, Kasatkina won 61 percent of her first serve points and 61 percent of her second serve points. Kasatkina won 61 percent of her total service points and converted on 5 of her 15 break points. Kasatkina got 67 percent of her first serves in play and saved 10 of her 14 break points. Kasatkina has won 4 straight matches for the first time since Charleston, and she’s won 3 straight matches that have gone the distance. Kasatkina looks to win her first title since the 2022 Championnats de Granby, and the seventh title of her career. Kasatkina has lost her last five final appearances and is 6-10 in career final appearances. Kasatkina is 0-2 in final appearances on grass court. Kasatkina has won 5 of her last 6 matches on grass court.

Leylah Fernandez vs Daria Kasatkina H2H

Kasatkina has won both matches against Fernandez. The matches took place in 2022 Rome, which was decided in 3 sets, and 2022 San Diego, which was decided in straight sets.

Leylah Fernandez vs Daria Kasatkina Prediction

Fernandez and Kasatkina have had issues with their serve at times and could’ve easily lost their semifinal matches, so this match should be interesting. With that said, despite the struggles recently in final appearances, Kasatkina is the more trustworthy player and should win this match. Kasatkina had little issues with Fernandez in the past and there’s more to her offensive Game which allows her to dictate more of the points. Kasatkina is also a fan of slower courts, so this is an ideal surface for her to end her title drought.

I like Kasatkina to win her first title in nearly two years.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Daria Kasatkina

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