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LA Dodgers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 8-28-24 MLB Picks

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Baltimore Orioles (74-55) vs. LA Dodgers (76-52)
August 28, 2024 10:10 pm EDT
The Line: LA Dodgers -130 / Baltimore Orioles +120; Over/Under: +8.5
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The Baltimore Orioles and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet Wednesday in MLB action from Dodger Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this Game. Here’s a LA Dodgers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Baltimore Orioles will send out Corbin Burnes for the start here and Burnes is 12-6 with a 3.28 ERA and 146 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Dodgers, Burnes is 1-2 with a 5.96 ERA and 25 strikeouts. Walker Buehler will get the start for the Dodgers here and is 1-4 with a 6.09 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. This will be Buehler’s second career start against the Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles Recap

The Baltimore Orioles come into this one looking to build on their series-opening 3-2 win over the Dodgers from Tuesday’s matchup. The win put the Orioles in a good spot to build on their series split with the Houston Astros from this past weekend.

Orioles Trying To Keep Pace With Yankees Atop AL East

Entering Tuesday’s opener, Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with 145 hits, along with 33 home runs, 78 RBIs and 6 triples but also has a team-high 132 strikeouts in addition to 15 stolen bases. Adley Rutschman has 122 hits with 18 home runs and 71 RBIs in addition to 17 doubles while Anthony Santander has 20 doubles with 38 home runs and 86 RBIs. Colton Cowser has 19 doubles and Ryan Mountcastle has 29 doubles and Jordan Westburg has 25 doubles. Cedric Mullins has also contributed a team-high 23 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The underdogs have won four of the Orioles’ last five games.
  • The Dodgers have lost each of their last five Wednesday games as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 10 road games after playing the previous day.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Wednesday games against AL East opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers will try to rebound from their loss to the Orioles in Tuesday’s series opener. The loss put the Dodgers’ series win streak at risk after series wins over the Rays, Mariners and Cardinals all in the last week and a half.

Dodgers Trying To Create Space In NL West Race

Going into Tuesday’s matchup, Shohei Ohtani has 148 hits including a team-high 41 home runs, 29 doubles and 94 RBIs with a .292 batting average while Mookie Betts has 100 hits with 20 doubles, 3 triples, 13 homers and 51 RBIs of his own. Teoscar Hernandez also has 26 home runs with 83 RBIs and a team-high 154 strikeouts. Betts also has 10 stolen bases while Ohtani has a team-high 40 stolen bases. Freddie Freeman also has 17 home runs and 73 RBIs with 31 doubles and Will Smith has added 22 doubles, 16 home runs and 63 RBIs. Andy Pages has also chipped in 22 doubles on the year.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Dodgers have won nine of their last 10 games against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Orioles have lost each of their last four games against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 16 games against NL West opponents following a win.

LA Dodgers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

I’m on the over here. Neither Burnes, nor Buehler are in great form coming into this matchup and while a headliner Game like this sometimes makes guys put out their best stuff, I don’t know if either starter has it going enough right now to slow down these lineups. Burnes has been getting rocked in a lot of recent starts, and Buehler just hasn’t looked comfortable since coming back from the injury this year. I think there’s runs coming in bunches in this Game. Give me the over.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Over 8.5

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