NFL

LA Chargers vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction 11-17-24 NFL Picks

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1w ago

Nov 13, 2024 / 416 Views

Evan Walker

Cincinnati Bengals (4-6) vs. LA Chargers (6-3)
November 17, 2024 8:20 pm EDT
The Line: LA Chargers -1.5; Over/Under: +46.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Cincinnati Bengals and LA Chargers meet Sunday in week 11 NFL action at SoFi Stadium. Here’s a LA Chargers vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction. This article will include a LA Chargers vs Cincinnati Bengals Pick.

Cincinnati Bengals Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Bengals lost to the Ravens, beat the Raiders, and they play the Steelers next. The Cincinnati Bengals have won 3 of their last 4 road games. Joe Burrow is completing 68.7 percent of his passes for 2,672 yards, 24 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Ja’Marr Chase and Mike Gesicki have combined for 1,314 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, while Tee Higgins has 29 receptions.

The Cincinnati Bengals ground Game is averaging 89.7 yards per contest, and Chase Brown leads the way with 521 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 26.2 points and 347.5 yards per Game. Logan Wilson leads the Cincinnati Bengals with 96 tackles, Trey Hendrickson has 11 sacks and Akeem Davis-Gaither has 1 interception.

Los Angeles Chargers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Chargers beat the Titans and Browns, and they get the Ravens next. The Los Angeles Chargers have won 3 of their last 4 home Games. Justin Herbert is completing 66 percent of his passes for 1,889 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Ladd McConkey and Joshua Palmer have combined for 834 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Quentin Johnston has 20 receptions.

The Los Angeles Chargers ground game is averaging 117.9 yards per contest, and J.K. Dobbins leads the way with 670 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 13.1 points and 302.1 yards per game. Daiyan Henley leads the Los Angeles Chargers with 82 tackles, Tuli Tuipulotu has 5.5 sacks and Elijah Molden has 3 interceptions.

Why the Cincinnati Bengals will win

The Bengals have won three of their last four games as road underdogs following a Division game.
The Chargers have lost six of their last nine games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
The Bengals have covered the spread in each of their last six November games against AFC West opponents.
The Chargers have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 12 home games against AFC North opponents.
The Chargers have lost the first quarter in each of their last five games as favorites in California.
The Bengals have won the first half in each of their last seven Sunday road games.
The Bengals have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five road games.

Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts

Gus Edwards has recorded 28+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 14 appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
Justin Herbert has recorded 228+ passing yards in 15 of the Chargers’ last 17 games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
Josh Palmer has recorded 36+ receiving yards in each of the Chargers’ last six games.
Gus Edwards has recorded 15+ rushing yards in each of his last 19 appearances with his team as a favorite.
Quentin Johnston has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four appearances following a win.
Justin Herbert has recorded 21+ completions in 20 of the Chargers’ last 23 games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
Justin Herbert has thrown three or more touchdowns in each of the Chargers’ last two games as home favorites against AFC North opponents.
Asante Samuel Jr. is just one away from 10 career interceptions (including playoffs).

Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts

Tanner Hudson has recorded 14+ receiving yards in each of his seven previous November appearances against AFC opponents.
Zack Moss has recorded 57+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog following a loss.
Zack Moss has recorded 62+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog following a loss.
Chase Brown has scored at least one touchdown in six of the Bengals’ last seven games.
Joe Burrow has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Bengals’ last five games against AFC opponents.
Joe Burrow has recorded 27+ completions in four of his last five November appearances.
Heading into Week 11, Joe Burrow ranks 1st in the NFL in passing yards (2672) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

Heading into Week 11, the Chargers rank 1st in the NFL in points allowed per game (13.1) this season.
Heading into Week 11, the Chargers rank 1st in the NFL in Q1 opponent points per game (1.8) this season.
Heading into Week 11, the Bengals rank 2nd in the NFL in red zone percentage (72.4%) this season.
Heading into Week 11, the Bengals rank 31st in the NFL in Q4 opponent points per game (9.8) this season.

LA Chargers vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction

The LA Chargers are playing the more consistent ball, they’re at home, and they have the best scoring defense in the NFL. The Cincinnati Bengals continue to have issues finishing Games, and their defense lets them down time and time again. With all that said, the Bengals are clicking offensively and that gives them a fighting chance against anybody. If the Bengals could get a stop or two, they upset the Ravens on the road. The Bengals have also seen 3 of their 4 wins come on the road this season, and they’ve had extra time to prepare for this Game. I’ll take a stab with the Bengals and the points.