Knicks vs Pacers Prediction, Picks & Odds - Game 4

With the New York Knicks running low on healthy bodies, the Indiana Pacers have a golden chance to level this Eastern Conference Semifinal series today at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

The Pacers hung on to edge a nail-biter on Friday night, winning Game 3 thanks to Andrew Nembhard’s clutch 3-pointer and a 35-point effort from Tyrese Haliburton — and they’re favorites again here in the latest NBA odds.

Still, though the Knicks are barely scraping together a seven-man rotation, Jalen Brunson’s wizardry gives the visitors a shot, even as he battles through a foot injury. Get a closer look at my NBA picks and Knicks vs Pacers prediction for Game 4 on Sunday, May 12.

Knicks vs Pacers prediction

My best bet
Pascal Siakam Over 21.5 points (-110 at BetMGM)

Best odds available in your region

My analysis

Put simply, this series is sitting there for Pascal Siakam to take over. The New York Knicks are set to be without OG Anunoby again this afternoon after Siakam’s former Toronto Raptors teammate picked up a hamstring injury in Game 2, and that leaves New York short on options for guarding Spicy P.

It’s been a strange postseason for Siakam, who exploded for a combined 73 points in the first two games of the Indiana Pacers’ first-round series against the Milwaukee Bucks but then fell short of the 20-point mark in his next six games before rebounding on Friday with 26 points.

Siakam was an efficient 9-for-14 from the field in Game 3 and, just as important, he didn’t just settle for long jumpers. He got into the paint and ended up with nine free-throw attempts.

That’s the version of Siakam the Pacers need if they’re going to send this series back to Madison Square Garden knotted at 2-2, and I’m picking him to shine against a Knicks defense that’s logged huge minutes in this playoff run.

If anything, Siakam could be more aggressive this afternoon, stealing some touches from Andrew Nembhard, Myles Turner, and T.J. McConnell so that he’s taking 20+ shots.

The Pacers’ slick transition game tends to be a path to easy points for Siakam, and I see the hosts leaning into a faster pace today as long as Haliburton isn’t slowed by back and ankle issues. In a must-win spot, and it’s time for Siakam to deliver another All-Star caliber performance.

Knicks vs Pacers same-game parlay (SGP)

Pascal Siakam Over 21.5 points

Donte DiVincenzo Over 23.5 points

Jalen Brunson Under 6.5 assists

+550 at bet365

Just as Siakam is the key to relieving the burden on Haliburton’s shoulders, Donte DiVincenzo has stepped up in this series as a much-needed sidekick for Jalen Brunson — and that’s a trend I see continuing this afternoon.

DiVincenzo couldn’t get going against the Philadelphia 76ers in the first round but he’s had no trouble torching the Pacers, including a 35-point effort in Game 3. I love the Over on his points prop today — and it’s a number that’s he passed in all three Games in this series.

I’m also taking the Under on Brunson’s assists. Indiana has held him to six or fewer dimes in each of the three contests so far, and the Knicks will surely look to ease some of his ball-handling workload to protect his injured foot.

With DiVincenzo, Josh Hart, and Miles McBride all capable of initiating the offense for New York, I see Brunson’s scoring outshining his playmaking again in Game 4.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Knicks vs Pacers odds

Knicks vs Pacers live odds

Get the latest Knicks vs Pacers NBA playoff odds for Game 4.

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Knicks vs Pacers opening odds

• Spread: New York +5.5 | Indiana -5.5
• Moneyline: New York +190 | Indiana -215
• Over/Under: Over 217.5 | Under 217.5

Knicks vs Pacers spread and Over/Under analysis

• The Pacers opened as a 5.5-point favorite and that line has held steady, with the Knicks giving early hints that Anunoby’s potential return would come in Game 5 at the earliest.
• That line makes sense as Indiana is 24-10 in its last 34 home contests and boasts a 4-0 mark at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in these playoffs.
• After Games 1 and 2 cashed the Over at MSG, Friday’s battle fell just short of the 220.5 line, prompting a slightly lower total of 218.5 today.
• Prior to Game 3, the Knicks had served up four straight Overs, and the Pacers have the top-scoring offense in the 2024 postseason with 114.1 ppg.

Knicks vs Pacers trend

Despite Tom Thibodeau rolling out some patchwork lineups, the Knicks have hit the Over in 19 of their last 24 contests. Find more NBA betting trends for Knicks vs. Pacers.

Knicks vs Pacers game info

Knicks vs Pacers latest injuries