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Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 9-4-24 MLB Picks

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Cleveland Guardians (79-59) vs. Kansas City Royals (75-64)
September 4, 2024 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas City Royals -133 / Cleveland Guardians +113; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Cleveland Guardians and Kansas City Royals meet Wednesday in MLB Game 3 action at Kauffman Stadium. Here’s a Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction. This article will include a Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Pick.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 80-59 on the year and play the Dodgers and White Sox next. The Cleveland Guardians have scored 17 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 Games. The Cleveland Guardians have won 5 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jose Ramirez leads the Cleveland Guardians with 146 hits and 105 RBI, while Steven Kwan and Andres Gimenez have combined for 258 hits and 98 RBI.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 75-65 on the year and play the Twins and Yankees next. The Kansas City Royals have scored 5 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 straight Games. The Kansas City Royals have lost 8 straight Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Kansas City Royals with 189 hits and 97 RBI, while Salvador Perez and Vinnie Pasquantino have combined for 269 hits and 191 RBI.

Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Pitching Pick Matchup

Ben Lively gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 11-8 with a 3.92 ERA and 105 strikeouts this season. Lively has allowed 32 hits and 19 earned runs in his last 31.2 innings. Lively has a 3.90 ERA and a .237 allowed batting average in 64.2 road innings. Lively is 1-1 with a 3.09 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Kansas City Royals.

Seth Lugo gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he is 14-8 with a 3.12 ERA and 155 strikeouts this season. Lugo has allowed 40 hits and 20 earned runs in his last 36.2 innings. Lugo has a 3.36 ERA and a .240 allowed batting average in 88.1 home innings. Lugo is 1-0 with a 3.21 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the Cleveland Guardians.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

  • The Guardians have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs against the Royals following a road win.
  • The Royals have lost each of their last seven games.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last six games against AL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Royals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games following a loss.
  • The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four home games.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • MJ Melendez has hit a home run in two of the Royals’ last three games as favorites.
  • Salvador Perez has recorded at least one Double in three of the Royals’ last four games as favorites.
  • Seth Lugo has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against AL Central opponents.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Royals’ last nine Wednesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one Single in six of the Royals’ last seven games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 12 night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Seth Lugo has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Royals as home favorites against AL opponents.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last 10 home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Naylor has hit a home run in three of his four previous Wednesday night appearances against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Guardians’ last three games as underdogs against the Royals.
  • Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians’ last six games as underdogs against the Royals.
  • Will Brennan has recorded at least one Single in six of his last seven road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last eight games as underdogs against the Royals.
  • Lane Thomas has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Royals.
  • Will Brennan has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

The Kansas City Royals are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home and Seth Lugo is on the mound. However, in what world are you going to lay juice with a Royals team that’s not scoring runs and has lost 7 straight Games? The Guardians are also still one of the most profitable teams in baseball. I don’t care if the Royals have Nolan Ryan on the hill. They’re in awful form. Give me the Guardians and the plus money. Easily one of the best value plays for Wednesday’s MLB card.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Cleveland Guardians +113

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