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Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 7-11-24 Picks

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Cleveland Guardians (57-33) vs. Detroit Tigers (43-49)
July 11, 2024 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Tigers -140 / Cleveland Guardians +129; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

The Cleveland Guardians and the Detroit Tigers meet Thursday in MLB action from Comerica Park. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians prediction. This will be the final installment in a four-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

In their weekend set the Guardians played the San Francisco Giants. Cleveland lost Friday’s Game but won the other pair for a series victory. The Guardians fell to the Tigers 1-0 in the opener of this series but then eked out a 9-8 win in Game two. On Wednesday Cleveland ended up taking a tough 5-4 loss. Tanner Bibee managed 7.0 innings with four earned runs as a starter.

Spencer Howard will take the mound for the starter role on Thursday for Cleveland. This year Howard is 1-1 with a 5.63 ERA in seven Games (two starts). Howard is 4-12 with a 6.93 ERA in 45 career Games (31 starts).

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

Over on the Tigers’ side, they managed to sweep the Cincinnati Reds in their last series. Detroit took wins 5-4, 5-3 and 5-1 in succession. On Wednesday versus Detroit in Game three, the Tigers scored four times in the first three innings. Starting pitcher Reese Olson lasted 6.0 innings with three earned runs.

It’ll be Jack Flaherty in the starter role for the Tigers on Thursday. So far this year Flaherty is 5-5 with a 3.24 ERA in 15 starts. Over his 146 career Games (140 starts) Flaherty is 47-39 with a 3.69 ERA.

Tigers vs Guardians Pick Injury Notes

Tigers SP Sawyer Gipson-Long (elbow) underwent left hip labral repair surgery on Tuesday.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Tigers’ last eight games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Guardians’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last five day games against AL Central opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last three day games against American League opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Matt Vierling has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Javier Baez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Matt Vierling has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Matt Vierling has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Matt Vierling has scored at least one run in each of his last five home appearances against the Guardians.
  • Jack Flaherty has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.
  • Jack Flaherty has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances.
  • Riley Greene has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Tigers’ last eight games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Steven Kwan has hit a home run in four of the Guardians’ last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Guardians’ last six day games.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances in day games.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 15 appearances in day games.
  • Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in each of his last 10 appearances in day games.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded a Double in each of the Guardians’ last five day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians’ last six day games.

Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

I’ll stay with the Tigers. Both starters could use a good outing, though. Flaherty is coming off a loss to the Angels with five earned in 5.2 innings. In his previous two starts Flaherty went 2-0 with one earned in 10.2 frames, though. As for Howard, he’s coming off six earned in 2.2 innings versus the Dodgers.

On Wednesday the Tigers got a handful of solid offensive performances, including homers from Matt Vierling (three RBI) and Andy Ibanez. The bullpen was decent as well, with one earned in 3.0 innings. Another good all-around effort Thursday and the Tigers will be in great shape.

Andrew's Free Pick: Detroit Tigers -140

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