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Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction 11-16-24 NBA Picks

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2m ago

Nov 16, 2024 / 2789 Views

Evan Walker

San Antonio Spurs (6-6) vs. Dallas Mavericks (5-7)
November 16, 2024 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks -10.5; Over/Under: +223
(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Mavericks play host to the San Antonio Spurs at the American Airlines Center on Saturday night. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Pick.

San Antonio Spurs

The San Antonio Spurs have been in decent shape as they’ve won three of their last five games, but they will be hoping to bounce back in this one after coming up just short to the Lakers in a 120-115 home loss last night. Victor Wembenyama led the team with 28 points, 14 rebounds and five assists on 12 of 25 shooting, Stephon Castle added 22 points with five assists, Devin Vassell added 15 points and five assists off the bench while Chris Paul chipped in with 11 points and 11 assists. As a team, the Spurs shot 48 percent from the field and 17 of 45 from the 3-point line as they worked hard to claw their way back from a 11-point deficit, only to get outscored by 9-3 in the final 1:59 to allow the Lakers off the hook in the end.

Dallas Mavericks

Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have been in a slump as they’ve lost five of their last six games overall and they will be hoping to put a halt to a four-game slide after getting beaten by the lowly Jazz in a 115-113 road defeat on Thursday. Luka Doncic led the team with 37 points, seven rebounds and nine assists, Naji Marshall added 19 points off the bench, Klay Thompson added 17 points while Quentin Grimes chipped in with 15 points and five assists. As a team, the Mavericks shot 50 percent from the field and 12 of 39 from the 3-point line as they showed plenty of fight to come back from an 18-point deficit, only to see the Jazz reclaim the lead with just 6.1 seconds left on the clock. Marshall went on to miss the potential game winner with the clock expiring.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

The Mavericks have won each of their last 12 night games against the Spurs.
The Spurs have lost each of their last six games as underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
The Mavericks have covered the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 15 games as road underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Total Points Facts

Each of the Mavericks’ last eight games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
Each of the Spurs’ last three road games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction

The Spurs are still shorthanded with Tre Jones and Jeremy Sochan still out, while the Mavericks are still missing PJ Washington and they are keeping an eye on Luka Doncic who is currently listed as questionable with knee soreness. The Spurs have finally found a bit of form, but this will be their second game of a back to back set, which is why the Mavericks are so heavily favored in this one. I am sure the Spurs are good enough to keep this to single digits the way they’ve been playing, but my only concern is the Spurs might rest Chris Paul for this one. I still have the Mavericks getting the much-needed win at home, but I just don’t feel they should be so heavily favored based on their recent form.