Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 5-13-24 Picks

The Oklahoma City Thunder and the Dallas Mavericks collide in a pivotal NBA Game 4 at the American Airlines Center on Monday night. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction.

Oklahoma City Thunder

The Oklahoma City Thunder might be starting to panic now as they will be hoping to avoid falling into a 3-1 series deficit after falling painfully short to the Mavericks in a 105-101 road loss in Game 3 on Saturday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 31 points, 10 rebounds, six assists and five blocks, Jalen Williams added 16 points with eight assists while Chet Holmgren chipped in with 13 points, eight rebounds and four blocks. As a team, the Thunder shot 46 percent from the field and 10 of 30 from the 3-point line as they got off to a decent start to take a 10-point lead midway through the third quarter, only for the Mavericks to go on a 37-18 run to flip the Game on its head. Josh Giddey had another quiet Game as he scored just nine points in 13 minutes of action, while Luguentz Dort scored just eight points in 40 minutes of action.

Dallas Mavericks

Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks are now aiming for a third straight victory after sneaking past the Thunder in Game 3 to take the lead in the series for the first time. PJ Washington led the team in scoring with 27 points on 11 of 23 shooting, Luka Doncic tallied 22 points with 15 rebounds and five assists, while Kyrie Irving chipped in with 22 points and seven assists on 10 of 17 shooting. As a team, the Mavericks shot just 42 percent from the field and 11 of 33 from the 3-point line as they got off to a sloppy start and trailed for most of the contest, before they clicked into gear late in the third quarter, turning a 10-point deficit into a nine-point lead to escape with the important home win. Derrick Jones Jr had a night to forget as he scored just three points on one of 10 shooting from the field.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won each of their last seven home games against Northwest Division opponents.
• The Thunder have lost each of their last six games at American Airlines Center following a loss.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last seven home games against Northwest Division opponents.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won eight of their last nine night games.
• The Mavericks have lost Game 4 in each of their last four playoff series’ when leading the series 2-1.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last five night games at American Airlines Center.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven Monday night games at American Airlines Center.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Mavericks’ last seven home night games following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Ten of the Thunder’s last 11 road games following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

The Thunder must have been brimming with confidence following their win in the series opener. It’s been all one-way traffic in favor of the Mavericks in the last two Games, and they need to respond, or they will find themselves facing a 3-1 series deficit. The Mavericks have been able to take control of the series behind the strength of their defense. I am sure we’re about to see another close contest here, but I am leaning towards the Thunder to square up the series, which looks like it could go the distance.