Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 9-19-24 MLB Picks

The Minnesota Twins and the Cleveland Guardians meet Thursday in MLB action from Progressive Field. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins prediction. This will be the final installment in a four-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Guardians vs Twins pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

Over the weekend the Twins took on the Cincinnati Reds. Minnesota lost two of those three games but won the finale 9-2. After splitting the first two installments with the Guardians, on Wednesday the Twins took a 5-4 loss. Bailey Ober posted 7.0 innings with two earned and 12 Ks in the start.

In the starter slot for Thursday it’ll be Simeon Woods Richardson. So far Richardson is 5-5 with a 4.08 ERA in 26 starts. Over 28 career Games (27 starts) Richardson is 5-6 with a 4.25 ERA.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

Over on the Guardians’ side, they were able to win two of four Games versus the Tampa Bay Rays in their last set. After Tuesday’s 4-1 loss, in Game three Cleveland scored three in the 10th inning in the comeback victory. Starter Tanner Bibee logged 6.2 innings with two earned runs.

It’ll be Joey Cantillo in the starting pitcher role for Cleveland Thursday. This year Cantillo is 2-3 with a 4.99 ERA in the first seven Games (six starts) of his career.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

• The Guardians have won each of their last seven day games against the Twins following a win.
• The Twins have lost nine of their last 10 road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games against the Twins following a win.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight Thursday day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against the Twins at Progressive Field.
• The Guardians have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against the Twins at Progressive Field.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Guardians have lost each of their last six games following an extra innings win.
• The underdogs have won five of the last six games between the Twins and Guardians.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as favorites after going to extra innings.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Twins and Guardians.
• The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Guardians’ last eight games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Twins’ last six games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last three day games.

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’ll try the Guardians here. Cantillo has done well over his last two outings. He’s 2-0 in that pair with just one earned on five hits and one walk in 12.0 combined frames. As for Richardson, he’s 0-2 in his last two with five earned in 7.1 frames total.

On Wednesday the Guardians were out-hit 8-7 and needed a wild final inning to secure the victory. I’d like to see Cleveland’s bats get started a little earlier on Thursday.