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Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 9-17-24 MLB Picks

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Minnesota Twins (78-70) vs. Cleveland Guardians (85-64)
September 17, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians +101 / Minnesota Twins -119; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and the Cleveland Guardians meet Tuesday in MLB action from Progressive Field. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins prediction. This will be the second installment in a four-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Guardians vs Twins pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

In their weekend set the Twins took on the Cincinnati Reds. Minnesota lost the first two Games but came back for a 9-2 win Sunday to stop the sweep. In Monday’s Game versus Cleveland, the Twins took a tough loss 4-3. Pablo Lopez managed 6.1 innings in the start with two earned runs.
In the starter slot Tuesday the Twins will send out Zebby Matthews So far Matthews is 1-3 with a 7.11 ERA over the first six starts of his career.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

Over on the Guardians’ side, they played the Tampa Bay Rays over the weekend. Cleveland lost the first two outings before a pair of wins in the last two Games. In Monday’s opener matchup, the Guardians out-hit the Twins 10-8. Starter Matthew Boyd finished with 2.2 innings and two earned runs.

It’ll be Gavin Williams at the start on Tuesday. This year Williams is 3-9 with a 5.23 ERA in 14 starts. Over his career, Williams is 6-14 with a 4.15 ERA in 30 starts.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Guardians’ last six games as home favorites has gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the Twins’ last nine games as underdogs against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last seven road games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last four games.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Lane Thomas has hit a home run in three of the Guardians’ last seven night games.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josh Naylor has scored a run in each of the Guardians’ last five games as favorites against the Twins.
  • Will Brennan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
  • Will Brennan has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
  • Will Brennan has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Guardians as favorites against AL opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Carlos Correa has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded two RBIs in each of his last four appearances with the Twins as road underdogs.
  • Carlos Correa has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine road appearances.
  • Carlos Santana has recorded a Single in each of his last six appearances.
  • Kyle Farmer has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances.
  • Kyle Farmer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances.
  • Manuel Margot has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Guardians. Probably not touching it, though. Neither starter has been great lately. Williams has given up eight earned over his last two outings in 6.0 innings combined, losing both. As for Matthews, he’s got 15 earned runs over his last three appearances in 10.1 innings, going 0-2.

On Monday the Guardians came back from an early 3-0 hole and powered out the victory. After one rough inning, Cleveland’s pitching staff settled in and helped keep the Game close. The Guardians need another good day on the mound Tuesday but I think they’ve got a decent shot.

Andrew's Free Pick: Cleveland Guardians +101

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