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Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 8-4-24 MLB Picks

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Baltimore Orioles (66-46) vs. Cleveland Guardians (67-43)
August 4, 2024 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians +119 / Baltimore Orioles -141; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Baltimore Orioles and the Cleveland Guardians meet Sunday in MLB action from Progressive Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this Game. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Baltimore Orioles will start Corbin Burnes in this one and is 11-4 with a 2.47 ERA and 128 strikeouts this season. In his career, Burnes is 2-0 with a 1.83 ERA and 24 strikeouts against Cleveland. The Cleveland Guardians will start Gavin Williams here and Williams is 1-3 with a 3.72 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. This will be Williams’ first career start against Baltimore.

Baltimore Orioles Recap

The Baltimore Orioles will try to salvage a split from this series after picking up a win in Saturday’s matchup by a final score of 7-4. The win gave the Orioles a lifeline to try to keep the momentum up after a series win over the Toronto Blue Jays in four Games to start the week.

Orioles Trying To Stay Atop AL East

Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with 126 hits, 28 home runs, along with 67 RBIs and 6 triples but also has a team-high 113 strikeouts in addition to 14 stolen bases. Adley Rutschman has 107 hits with 17 home runs and 64 RBIs in addition to 13 doubles while Anthony Santander has 17 doubles with 32 home runs and 75 RBIs. Colton Cowser has 16 doubles and Ryan Mountcastle has 24 doubles and Jordan Westburg has a team-high 25 doubles. Cedric Mullins has also contributed a team-high 19 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The Orioles have won each of their last nine games against AL Central opponents following a road win.
  • The Guardians have lost eight of their last nine games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against AL Central opponents following a road win.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 home games after playing the previous day.

Cleveland Guardians Recap

The Cleveland Guardians will try to bounce back in Sunday’s series finale after giving the Orioles a lifeline with Saturday’s win. The loss put Cleveland back a step but there’s still a chance at keeping the series win streak alive after taking out the Tigers and Phillies over the last week.

Guardians Looking To Distance Themselves At Top Of AL Central

Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 117 hits as well as 29 home runs and 93 RBIs while Josh Naylor also has 23 home runs and 77 RBIs along with 18 doubles of his own. Ramirez has a team-high 24 doubles while Tyler Freeman has 14 doubles and Andres Gimenez has 45 RBIs with 16 stolen bases while the aforementioned Ramirez has a team-high 20 stolen bases on the year. Steven Kwan is also hitting .330 with 112 hits and 14 doubles this season.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

  • The Orioles have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a road win.
  • The Guardians have won four of their last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in 10 of their last 12 games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as favorites following a road win.

Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

I’m backing the Orioles here. I just think this is a great price on Corbin Burnes and the Orioles just given what this series has produced so far. The Guardians do have the better bullpen, but Gavin Williams in my eyes is not as good as his numbers/ERA would suggest. I think the Orioles earn the split in this one so give me Baltimore here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Baltimore -141

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