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Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals Prediction 9-19-24 MLB Picks

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Washington Nationals (68-84) vs. Chicago Cubs (77-75)
September 19, 2024 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago Cubs -192 / Washington Nationals +161; Over/Under: +8.5
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The Washington Nationals and Chicago Cubs meet Thursday in MLB Game 1 action at Wrigley Field. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals Prediction. This article will include a Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals Pick.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 68-84 on the year after playing the Marlins and Mets. The Washington Nationals have scored 2 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 Games. The Washington Nationals have won 6 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Luis Garcia Jr. leads the Washington Nationals with 131 hits and 65 RBI, while CJ Abrams and Jacob Young have combined for 242 hits and 100 RBI.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 77-75 on the year after playing the Rockies and Athletics. The Chicago Cubs have scored 15 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 9 Games. The Chicago Cubs have won 11 of their last 14 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Nico Hoerner leads the Chicago Cubs with 148 hits and 43 RBI, while Seiya Suzuki and Ian Happ have combined for 269 hits and 153 RBI.

Washington Nationals vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Pick Matchup

Patrick Corbin gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 6-13 with a 5.45 ERA and 132 strikeouts this season. Corbin has allowed 20 hits and 10 runs in his last 17.2 innings. Corbin has a 6.58 ERA and a .347 allowed batting average in 79.1 road innings. Corbin is 5-2 with a 4.09 ERA and 63 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago Cubs.

Javier Assad gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 7-5 with a 3.27 ERA and 116 strikeouts this season. Assad has allowed 10 hits and 5 earned runs in his last 11.2 innings. Assad has a 2.24 ERA and a .223 allowed batting average in 64.1 home innings. Assad is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 5 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

  • The Nationals have lost each of their last 11 night games following a road loss.
  • The home team has won each of the Nationals’ last six games.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games following a road loss.
  • The Cubs have covered the run line in five of their last six games against the Nationals following a home loss.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Nationals.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 11 night games.
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Nationals.
  • Ian Happ has recorded an RBI in each of the Cubs’ last four games against NL East opponents.
  • Dansby Swanson has recorded a Double in three of the Cubs’ last four games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ian Happ has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cubs’ last 11 night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cubs’ last eight home games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Cody Bellinger has scored at least one run in each of the Cubs’ last eight night games.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in eight of the Nationals’ last nine road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Patrick Corbin has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.
  • Joey Meneses has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last six road games against the Cubs.
  • Joey Meneses has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Patrick Corbin has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances.

Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals Prediction

Javier Assad has been great at Wrigley this season, and he gives the Cubs a great chance to win on Thursday. However, this is more of a fade of Patrick Corbin than anything else. Corbin has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball over the last few years, and that includes a 5.58 ERA, 33-70 record, and 1.53 WHIP since 2020. I’ve faded Corbin for much of those results, and it won’t stop now. Give me the Cubs and the RL for max betting value.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Chicago Cubs -1.5

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