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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction 5-1-24 Picks

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Miami Heat (48-40) vs. Boston Celtics (67-19)
May 1, 2024 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Celtics -13.5; Over/Under: +200
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat and Boston Celtics meet Wednesday in Game 5 East NBA Playoffs action at the TD Garden. Here’s a Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat need a win to save their season and force a game 6 on Friday. The Miami Heat are averaging 94.3 points on 44.5 percent shooting and allowing 105.3 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Bam Adebayo is averaging 22.5 points and 10.5 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 17.3 points and 3.8 rebounds. Jaime Jaquez Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Caleb Martin is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.6 percent from beyond the arc and 80 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 38.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38 rebounds per game.

Boston Celtics Betting Preview

The Boston Celtics look for a win to advance to the second round of the playoffs for a third straight season. The Boston Celtics are averaging 105.3 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 94.3 points on 44.5 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 23.3 points and 10 rebounds, while Jaylen Brown is averaging 22.3 points and 7.3 rebounds. Derrick White is the third double-digit scorer and Al Horford is grabbing 7.3 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 38.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.9 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 37.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per Game.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Injury Report

Kristaps Porzingis suffered an Achilles injury in Game 4 and is expected to miss some time. Porzingis likely won’t play the rest of the series against the Heat. The Miami Heat will continue to be without Josh Richardson, Jimmy Butler and Terry Rozier. Jaime Jaquez Jr. suffered a hip injury in Game 4, and he’s already been ruled out for Game 5.

Boston Celtics Team Facts

  • The Celtics have won 14 of their last 15 home games following a win.
  • The Celtics have covered the spread in each of their last five games at TD Garden following a road win.
  • Seven of the Celtics’ last eight playoff games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Miami Heat Team Facts

  • The Heat have won five of their last six games as road underdogs against the Celtics following a loss.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last seven road games following a loss.
  • Seven of the Heat’s last eight road games have gone OVER the total points line.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Miami Heat have actually played better ball on the road than at home this season, and it would be so Miami Heat to stink it up at home and comPete in Boston when everybody writes them off. However, the Heat just don’t have enough bodies to comPete and right when it looked like they were getting a break with the Porzingis injury, they lose Jaime Jaquez to a hip injury. Duncan Robinson is also playing with a bad back, and Kevin Love is unplayable due to the zone defense. The Heat are banged up across the board, and it’s leading to the corpse of Patty Mills getting minutes. It’s bad, folks. There’s truly no excuse for the Celtics not to blow the doors off.

This should be a comfortable home win for the Celtics as they reach the second round of the playoffs for a third straight season. I’ll lay the points with the leprechauns.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Boston Celtics -13.5

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