Week 2 was wild in the NFL for underdogs. If you were to bet every underdog in Week 2, you went 8-8 straight up and 10-4-2 against the spread. Will that trend continue in Week 3?
The 3 picks from last week’s best bets all hit with the Buffalo Bills (+2.5) beating the Miami Dolphins outright, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers not only covering the +7.5, but beating the Detroit Lions outright, and the New England Patriots covering the +3.5 (our line at press time) in an overtime loss to the Seattle Seahawks.
The underdog best bets are 4-1-1 through 2 weeks.
Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook NFL odds, and tab the best NFL Week 3 underdog bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.
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NFL underdog predictions: Week 3
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:45 a.m. ET. All Games Sunday and ET unless noted.
PATRIOTS +6 (-110) at Jets – Thursday, 8:15 p.m. (Prime Video)
The Pats are 1-1 and have covered the spread as underdogs in both games (if you bet early in the week). They have the No. 2 rush defense in the league currently, allowing 58.0 yards per game (YPG).
The Jets don’t run the ball particularly well and have been pedestrian offensively (21.5 points per Game).
New England runs the ball well (177.5 YPG), and the Jets have struggled against the run so far (l55.0 YPG allowed). That should keep the game close.
CHARGERS (+105) at Steelers – 1 p.m. (CBS)
Chargers QB Justin Herbert is dealing with an ankle injury, but coach Jim Harbaugh believes he will play. The Chargers’ defense has allowed only 13 points so far this season. The Steelers are not exactly offensive juggernauts, averaging 15.5 points through 2 weeks.
Both teams have great run defenses. The Chargers have run the ball very well so far, averaging 197.5 YPG.
This is the best defense the Steelers have faced, and the same holds true for the Chargers. But in a matchup of Herbert vs. Steelers QB Justin Fields, Herbert gets the edge.
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Chiefs at FALCONS +3.5 (-110) – 8:20 p.m. (NBC)
The Chiefs have been close-game merchants. The Falcons pulled out a last-minute win against the Philadelphia Eagles, and QB Kirk Cousins was efficient in the win, passing for 241 yards and 2 scores.
The Chiefs are missing RB Isiah Pacheco (leg), which will impact the offense.
This game feels like a last-minute field goal ending.
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