Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Thursday 11/16: 3-Leg Parlay at mega +713 odds – Shorthanded Warriors pull one out

Having just two Games on the NBA schedule isn’t ideal from a betting standpoint, but nonetheless I was able to come up with another Mega Parlay to spice things up a little. The action tips-off in Miami from 7.30 pm ET on NBA TV, followed by the OKC Thunder and Golden State Warriors at 10 pm.

Head over to our NBA predictions page for picks on the Spread and Total for both Thursday match-ups.

Let’s dive into my Parlay now!

Miami Heat -4 (-112)

Under 217 Pts in Nets vs Heat (-110)

Golden State Warriors ML (+128)

Parlay odds: +713

Miami Heat -4 (-112)

To start things off I have the Miami Heat covering as 4-point favorites vs the Nets. One streak will have to give in tonight’s match-up. After a sluggish 1-4 start to their season, the home team is currently on a 6-game win streak, however Brooklyn has won the last 5 meetings head-to-head. This will be the 2nd meeting of the season already, the Nets won 109-105 some two weeks ago, but a lot has changed since.

Miami’s streak has them top of the Southeast Division standing. Losing leading scorer Tyler Herro didn’t have as much of a negative effect as some people thought it would. Instead, Bam Adebayo has upped his game, he’s currently averaging 23 points and 10.5 rebounds per game. His production could be key tonight as the Nets aren’t really deep at the center position. I really like Miami to continue rolling here.

Under 217 Pts in Nets vs Heat (-110)

I do not expect a high scoring game here. These two teams play a similar style ranking 17th and 18th in pace, averaging under 100 possessions per game. The first meeting finished with just 214 points scored, the oddsmakers have raised the projected total to 217 for tonight’s match-up. In their last 3 games the Heat are scoring just 10.7 threes per game, which ranks them in the bottom 6 of the entire NBA during that stretch. Shooting from distance isn’t a strength of this team, they connected on just 8 threes in their win over Charlotte.

But that’s the beauty of Miami Heat basketball. Unlike most teams, they like to rely on defense to get wins. They have the 8th best defensive rating, with teams scoring just 109.8 points per Game against them. In home Games they are 1-3 on the O/U, while for the season the under has already cashed 7 times in 11 Games. The Nets are also 2-3 on the O/U in away Games, their last 8 off 11 played in November have all cashed on the under. With just 1 of the last 4 meetings in Miami finishing with more than 217 points, I think backing the under is the best bet here.

Golden State Warriors ML (+128)

And to cap things off I have the underdog Warriors to win at home against the Oklahoma City Thunder. It’s been a turbulent couple of days for Golden State, to say the least. Draymond Green just got handed a 5-Game suspension for his altercation with Rudy Gobert in the loss to Minnesota. They’ll also be without Stephen Curry who will miss yet another Game with his knee injury, so things aren’t trending in the direction they were hoping for at the moment. However, we’ve seen quite a few instances already this season where teams lift themselves up when adversity hits and I expect the Warriors to do just that.

Golden State is 10-1 SU in the last 11 meetings, outscoring the Thunder by almost 14 points on average during that run. They’re shooting over 51% from the field in those Games, as good as the Warriors offense is, I think that has to do more with the Thunder lack of awareness on the defensive end. Klay Thompson also got ejected in that Game vs Minnesota, so he should be fresh for this one. With their leading scorer out of the mix, I expect the Warriors to turn to Klay here. They are outmanned here, but with the home crowd cheering them on I wouldn’t write them off so easily.