Barcelona welcomes PSG to Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys for the 2nd leg of the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal battle. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Barcelona vs. PSG odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
Barcelona won the 1st leg 3-2 at PSG as F Raphinha led the way with 2 goals. PSG did end with 3 more shots and 59% of the possession, but still will face an uphill battle Tuesday.
PSG did not play over the weekend and sits atop the Ligue 1, the top French league. It is 18-9-1 in league play and has a +41 goal differential. PSG beat Real Sociedad a combined 4-1 in the Round of 16 after finishing 2nd in Group F.
Barcelona finished atop Group H, going 4-2 in the group stage. It sits 2nd in the La Liga with a 21-7-3 record and owns a +28 goal differential. Barcelona beat Napoli 4-2 on aggregate in the Round of 16. They are led by F Robert Lewandowski, who has 13 goals in league play.
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Barcelona vs. PSG odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:39 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Barcelona +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | PSG +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Draw +290 (bet $100 to win $290)
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +114 | U: -138)
Barcelona vs. PSG picks and predictions
Prediction
Barcelona 2, PSG 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET BARCELONA (+115).
Barcelona has been on fire as of late, winning 6 in a row throughout all competitions. They have a few quality wins mixed in there, taking down Atletico Madrid, another team in the Champions League, on the road 3-0. Barcelona won every group stage game at home, totaling 9 goals and allowing 2. They took down Napoli 3-1 at home as well.
PSG is a quality side, but they don’t have the same level of competition in France and struggled in the group stage, losing 2 and drawing 2. While they did have more shots in the 1st leg, they also had fewer shots on frame, struggling to convert chances. PSG lost 2 of 3 group stage road games.
Put it all together and take BARCELONA (+115).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 3.5 (-138).
PSG has played 9 group stage games this season and has gone Under this total in 7 of them. They have 1.5 or fewer expected goals in 6 of the 9 as well, while allowing under 2.0 expected goals in all 9.
Barcelona has an electric offense, but they have also had over 2.0 expected goals in just 3 of 9 games, many of which were against backlines weaker than PSG’s. They allowed north of 1.3 expected goals in just 1 of the 9 games as well.
Both teams should perform better defensively. Take UNDER 3.5 (-138).
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