Real Madrid (24 wins, 6 draws, 1 loss) welcomes Barcelona (21-7-3) to the Santiago Bernabéu Sunday. Kickoff in El Clasico is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Real Madrid vs. Barcelona odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.
Barcelona is coming into this game after being stunned on Tuesday, losing 4-1 at home to PSG in the 2nd leg of the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal. Barcelona beat PSG at home in the 1st leg and was riding a 6-game winning streak throughout all competitions prior to Tuesday. Barcelona has a +28 goal differential in La Liga play and is 9-6-0 on the road.
Real Madrid has the opposite feeling in its midweek match. It beat Man City in penalty kicks after a 4-4 aggregate through 2 legs sent it to overtime and ultimately penalties. Real has been dominant in league play and is 13-2-0 at home on the season. They have a +47 goal differential through 31 La Liga matches. Madrid is led by M Jude Bellingham, who has 16 goals in 24 matches.
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Real Madrid vs. Barcelona odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:22 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Real Madrid -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Barcelona +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Draw +290 (bet $100 to win $290)
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +140 | U: -170)
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona picks and predictions
Prediction
Real Madrid 2, Barcelona 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET REAL MADRID (-130).
Real Madrid has won 6 of the last La Liga 8 matchups between the 2 sides and 3 of their last 4 at home. They have been dominant in league play at home as well, winning 13 of 15 matches.
In Madrid’s 2 draws at home, it had 2.1 more and 0.8 more expected goals, so one could argue it should have won those as well. Madrid’s stadium should also be rocking as its fans should want to thank it for a terrific Champions League win.
Barcelona could be defeated after its discouraging loss. It has done well entering this game, but the road side has struggled in recent history against Madrid. Expect that to continue and back REAL MADRID (-130).
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN UNDER 3.5 (-170).
Four of the last 6 Games between these 2 teams in league play has ended 2-1, with the other 2 going north of this total. However, both teams could have tired legs after lengthy Champions League midweeks battles the last few weeks.
Also, they have a few of the best defenses in La Liga. Madrid allowed 0.65 goals per game while Barcelona allows 1.10. Barcelona’s defense hasn’t been consistently good this season but has had 6 straight La Liga clean sheets.
Considering those impressive trends, back UNDER 3.5 (-170) but only for a partial unit given the lofty price on it. If you think the trend of 2-1 scores will continue and you like Madrid to come out on top, it might be worth a play on the exact score for the home side at +750.
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