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Baltimore Orioles vs NY Yankees Prediction 7-12-24 Picks

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NY Yankees (56-38) vs. Baltimore Orioles (57-35)
July 12, 2024 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles +116 / NY Yankees -137; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Yankees and the Baltimore Orioles meet Friday in MLB action from Oriole Park. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs NY Yankees Prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

This week the Yankees took on the Tampa Bay Rays. After a Tuesday loss 5-3 and a Wednesday win 2-1, in the Thursday rubber match New York gave up five runs in the first three innings on the way to a 5-4 loss. Nestor Cortes had a rough start with 4.1 innings and five earned.

For the starter gig Friday the Yankees will send out Gerrit Cole. This year Cole is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA in four starts. Cole has a career record of 146-76 with a 3.20 ERA in 304 starts.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

Over on the Orioles’ side, they’re coming off a matchup versus the Chicago Cubs. Baltimore lost the first two installments of that set 9-2 and 4-0. On Thursday the O’s were demolished in a shutout 8-0. Starting pitcher Albert Suarez had 5.0 innings with four earned runs.

As starting pitcher for Friday’s matchup the Orioles will go with Cade Povich. In the first six starts of his career Povich is 1-3 with a 6.51 ERA. He has 18 Ks in 27.2 innings total.

Orioles vs Yankees Pick Injury Notes

Yankees DH Giancarlo Stanton (hamstring) could skip a rehab assignment and rejoin the team shortly after the All-Star break.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Yankees’ last nine road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Orioles’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last three games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last three games against American League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles’ last six games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • James McCann has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one Double in four of the Orioles’ last five games against AL East opponents.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in six of the Orioles’ last eight home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles’ last eight home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Gerrit Cole has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Jose Trevino has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in 15 of his last 16 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded an RBI in each of the Yankees’ last four games against the Orioles.
  • J.D. Davis has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Baltimore Orioles vs NY Yankees Prediction

I’ll probably just stay with the Orioles. Most of that is due to not trusting the Yankees though, so I’ll also probably just avoid this one. Cole is coming off another rough performance on July 6 versus Boston, giving up four earned on seven hits and two walks in 4.1 innings. He’s lasted 4.1 innings or fewer in two of his last three starts, giving up a combined 10 earned in that pair.

On Thursday the Yankees got into trouble early and ultimately couldn’t dig their way out of a five-run hole despite a few flashes on offense. if there’s good news, it’s that the bullpen was rock solid. That said, it’s still yet another devastating loss for New York. Baltimore is struggling themselves after a sweep by the Cubs, so this series will be huge heading into the All-Star break.

Andrew's Free Pick: Baltimore Orioles +116

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