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Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction 8-1-24 MLB Picks

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Miami Marlins (40-68) vs. Atlanta Braves (58-49)
August 1, 2024 7:20 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -204 / Miami Marlins +170; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves meet Thursday in MLB Game 1 action at Truist Park. Here’s a Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction. This article will include an Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 40-68 on the year after playing the Brewers and Rays. The Miami Marlins have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 10 games. The Miami Marlins have won 7 of their last 9 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jake Burger leads the Miami Marlins with 77 hits and 42 RBI, while Jesus Sanchez and Nick Gordon have combined for 134 hits and 71 RBI.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 58-49 on the year after playing the Mets and Brewers. The Atlanta Braves have scored 14 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 Games. The Atlanta Braves have won 4 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Marcell Ozuna leads the Atlanta Braves with 120 hits and 84 RBI, while Ozzie Albies and Austin Riley have combined for 185 hits and 91 RBI. The Braves will face the Brewers and Rockies following this series.

Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Pick Matchup

Max Meyer gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. Meyer has allowed 10 hits and 4 runs in his last 10 innings. Meyer has a 3.60 ERA and .200 allowed batting average in 10 road innings. This will be Meyer’s second career Game against the Atlanta Braves.

Charlie Morton gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 5-6 with a 4.16 ERA and 103 strikeouts this season. Morton has allowed 22 hits and 12 earned runs in his last 20.1 innings. Morton has a 3.32 ERA and .236 allowed batting average in 57 home innings. Morton is 13-6 with a 4.14 ERA and 142 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Why the Atlanta Braves will Beat the Marlins

  • The Marlins have lost 13 of their last 14 games at Truist Park.
  • The Braves have won each of their last seven night games against the Marlins at Truist Park following a win.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against the Braves following a win.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in five of their last six home games against the Marlins.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 10 Thursday games against opponents that held a winning record.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Ozzie Albies has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Marlins.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 21 home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Marcell Ozuna has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last seven night games.
  • Charlie Morton has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six home appearances against the Marlins.
  • Jorge Soler has recorded a Double in four of his last five home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Charlie Morton has recorded a win in each of his last three home appearances against the Marlins.
  • Jorge Soler has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jake Burger has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against the Braves.
  • Jake Burger has recorded a Single in four of the Marlins’ last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jake Burger has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins’ last eight night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jake Burger has scored at least one run in six of the Marlins’ last seven road games.
  • Jake Burger has recorded a Double in three of the Marlins’ last four night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction

The Miami Marlins are hard to trust these days, considering they traded away half their roster and the majority of their top offensive players. Max Meyer also doesn’t have the sample size as a starter to trust, especially on the road. If the Atlanta Braves are serious about getting the top wild card spot at the very least these are Games they need to take advantage of. Charlie Morton has been respectable this season, and he’s even better when he’s got it going. Again, the Braves can’t afford Games like this to slip away. Give me the Braves and the RL for max betting value.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Atlanta Braves -1.5

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