UFC Fight Night 224 Picks, Predictions and Best Bets | Aspinall vs Tybura

UFC Fight Night 224 takes place on Saturday at the O2 Arena in London, England. This card features a heavyweight fight between Tom Aspinall and Marcin Tybura as the Main Event.

We are sharing our UFC Fight Night 224 best bets here, but head over to our main UFC Fight Night 224 predictions for picks on every Main Card fight. Let’s get into our best bets for Saturday’s card.

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UFC Fight Night 224 Main Card best bets

Paul Craig vs Andre Muniz – Fight to end by Submission (-125)

Paul Craig comes into this fight with an MMA record of 16-6-1 and he is 8-6-1 in the UFC. Craig will likely want to grapple here, averaging 1.81 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.7 submission attempts during the same time period. He has a takedown accuracy of 20% and a takedown defense of 50%.

Andre Muniz comes into this fight with an MMA record of 23-5 and he is 7-1 in the UFC. Muniz is averaging 2.95 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.7 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 36% and his takedown defense is 41%.

Muniz is the heavy favorite, but Craig’s submission ability should make him a live dog. They both have won majority of their fights by submission, therefore backing this fight to also end by submission will be our play.

Jai Herbert vs Fares Ziam – Fight to go the Distance – Yes (-125)

Fares Ziam is a moderate favorite in this fight, but neither fighter offers much confidence. Both fighters have high finish rates, but Ziam has seen 4 of his 5 UFC fights go the distance, while Jai Herbert has seen each of his last 2 UFC fights do the same. For that reason, backing this fight to also go the distance will be our play.

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Lerone Murphy ML over Josh Culibao (-140)

Lerone Murphy comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-0-1. He is 4-0-1 in the UFC, most recently beating Gabriel Santos by split decision back in March of this year. Murphy is averaging 3.58 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. He is absorbing 2.64 strikes and has a striking defense of 55%. His grappling is decent at best, averaging 0.83 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 37% and his takedown defense is 43%.

Murphy is a small favorite in this fight, and rightly so as he is undefeated. Josh Culibao has also been solid, but because Murphy is better at striking and grappling, backing Murphy to continue his win streak will be our play.

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