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Twins vs Orioles Prediction - MLB Picks 6/30/23

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Baltimore Orioles (48-31) vs Minnesota Twins (40-42)

Game Info: Friday, June 30, 2023 at 7:05 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)

Dean Kremer (8-3) (4.50) vs Pablo Lopez (3-5) (4.41)

Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -115 / Minnesota Twins -105 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Minnesota Twins will play the Baltimore Orioles in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland.

Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 40-42 this season and they have lost four of their last five Games. Minnesota is coming off of a series loss to the Braves, where they lost all three Games. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average this season. The Twins offense has scored 343 runs with a .231 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Carlos Correa is batting .212 with 11 home runs and 37 RBI’s for the Twins. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Pablo Lopez, who is 3-5 with a 4.41 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 96.0 innings pitched this year. 

Orioles Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 48-31 this season and they have lost four of their last seven Games. Baltimore is coming off of a series loss to Cincinnati, where they lost two out of three Games. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .254 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 388 runs with a .253 batting average and a .323 on base percentage this year. Austin Hays is batting .314 with eight home runs and 34 RBI’s for the Orioles. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Dean Kremer, who is 8-3 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 88.0 innings pitched this season.

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Trends

Minnesota is 1-4 in their last 5 Games and 1-6 in their last 7 Games following a day off. The under is 6-1 in Minnesota’s last 7 Games. Baltimore is 20-7 in their last 27 Friday Games and 37-17 in their last 54 Game one’s of a series. The over is 7-2 in Baltimore’s last 9 Games. The under is 16-6 in these two teams last 22 head to head meetings in Baltimore.

Pick

The Twins come into this series struggling and they are two Games below .500, but they are at the top of the AL Central standings. The Twins are starting Pablo Lopez, who has allowed 3, 4, 3, 1, and 6 earned runs in his last five starts. Baltimore is starting Dean Kremer, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. I like the Orioles to get the win here. 

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