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Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 5-1-24 Picks

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Kansas City Royals (17-13) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (15-15)
May 1, 2024 3:07 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -137 / Kansas City Royals +116; Over/Under: +7.5
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The Kansas City Royals and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Wednesday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals Prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Royals played the Detroit Tigers over the weekend, winning 8-0 on Friday before dropping the weekend Games. Kansas City lost again 6-5 in the Monday opener versus Toronto. On Tuesday the Royals managed eight hits during a 4-1 win. Cole Ragans put up 6.2 innings in the start with one earned on four hits and three walks alongside nine Ks.

Seth Lugo will make the start for the Royals on Wednesday. Across his six Games this year Lugo is 4-1 with a 1.66 ERA and 23 Ks in 38.0 innings. Lugo is 44-32 with a 3.39 ERA in 307 career Games (70 starts).

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

Over on the Blue Jays’ side, they played the Los Angeles Dodgers in their weekend Games. Toronto lost the first two Games in that set then took a 3-1 victory to stave off the sweep. On Tuesday versus the Royals, the Jays could only come up with four team hits in the defeat. Jose Berrios went 7.0 innings in the start with two earned, five hits and a walk.

As starting pitcher for Wednesday’s Game, the Blue Jays will go with Chris Bassitt. In six starts so far this year Bassitt is 2-4 with a 5.64 ERA and 30 Ks in 30.1 innings. Bassitt is 64-46 with a 3.55 ERA in 175 career Games (162 starts).

Royals vs Blue Jays Injury Notes

On Monday it was reported that Blue Jays SP Brandon Barriera recently underwent a hybrid surgery on his injured left elbow. Barriera will miss the rest of the 2024 season.

Toronto Blue Jays Team Facts

  • The Blue Jays have won 14 of their last 15 home games against AL Central opponents following a home loss.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last five Wednesday day games against American League opponents.

Kansas City Royals Team Facts

  • The Royals have lost each of their last 17 games against AL East opponents following a road win.
  • The Royals have covered the run line eight of their last nine games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Royals have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Wednesday games as underdogs.
  • The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Wednesday games as underdogs.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

I’ll take a stab on the Royals. This one’s going to be iNFLuenced heavily by starter performance. Lugo had a spotty loss to the Orioles back on April 21, giving up four earned on nine hits and a walk in 5.1 innings. Lugo was able to bounce back with 7.0 clean frames in a win over the Tigers in his last outing, though. As for Bassitt, he coughed up seven earned runs on nine hits and three walks in just 2.2 innings versus the Dodgers in his last start. He’ll need a good bounce-back outing Wednesday.

On Tuesday the Royals got a pretty well-rounded effort overall. That said, a few batters went hitless. The bullpen was great following Ragans’ 6.2 innings though, with 2.1 clean frames, no hits, no walks and two strikeouts. KC should have a good chance at keeping it rolling in the finale.

Andrew's Free Pick: Kansas City Royals +116

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