The Texas Rangers (8-7) and Houston Astros (5-11) wrap up a 3-game set at Minute Maid Park Sunday. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 3-3
The Astros beat the Rangers 9-2 Saturday after losing 12-8 Friday. Houston is just 3-6 straight up at home this season. It is 5-11 against the spread (ATS).
The Rangers started off the season 6-2 but have struggled over the last 10 days. They are 2-5 over their last 7, 3-2 on the road and 7-8 ATS on the season.
Rangers at Astros projected starters
RHP Nathan Eovaldi vs. RHP Cristian Javier
Eovaldi (1-0, 1.45 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.80 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 18 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 4-3 home win over Oakland Athletics Tuesday
- Rangers are 2-1 in his starts
- 2023 road splits: 6-2, 3.56 ERA (78 1/3 IP, 31 ER — 6 HR), 26 BB, 70 K in 13 starts
Javier (1-0, 1.00 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 5.0 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 16 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 4-3 road loss to Kansas City Royals Tuesday
- Astros are 1-2 in his starts
- 2023 home splits: 5-2, 3.71 ERA (68 IP, 28 ER — 7 HR), 21 BB, 71 K in 18 starts
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Rangers at Astros odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rangers +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Astros -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers -1.5 (+158) | Astros +1.5 (-205)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -102)
Rangers at Astros picks and predictions
Prediction
Astros 4, Rangers 3
Moneyline
BET ASTROS (-120).
The Astros were dominant with Javier on the mound last season, going 21-10 in his 31 appearances. Houston has scored at least 8 runs in its last 3 Games against the Rangers, and if that offense even remotely sustains that with Javier on the mound, the Astros should come out on top.
The Rangers have struggled as of late, losing 2 of 3 at home against the A’s in the series prior. They have also lost 3 of their last 4 against Houston.
Take ASTROS (-120).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Astros are too pricey as run-line underdogs, while the Rangers are too risky as run-line favorites. Ultimately, look to the moneyline regardless of who you think will win.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-102).
The Rangers are 7-8 O/U this season and have scored 2 or fewer in 2 of their last 3 and 3 or fewer in 3 of their last 5. Texas has gone Under in all 3 of Eovaldi’s starts as well.
The Astros have gone Under in all 3 of Javier’s starts. Houston is 7-8-1 O/U on the season. It is 3-5-1 O/U at home. Considering those trends, back UNDER 8.5 (-102).
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