Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 8-10-24 MLB Picks

The Baltimore Orioles and the Tampa Bay Rays meet Saturday in MLB action from Tropicana Field. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Rays vs Orioles pick.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

In their last series versus the Toronto Blue Jays, the Orioles were only able to win one Game, a 7-3 result on Wednesday. The other pair were losses 5-2 and 7-6. On Friday versus the Rays, the O’s bagged a 4-1 win. Starter Zach Eflin posted 7.0 clean frames with four hits and one walk.

Starter for Baltimore on Saturday will be Corbin Burnes. This year Burnes is 12-4 with a 2.63 ERA in 23 starts. Burnes is 57-31 with a 3.15 ERA in 190 career Games (129 starts).

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

Over on the Rays’ side, they lost their first two Games versus the St. Louis Cardinals 4-3 and 5-2 before a 6-4 win in the finale. On Friday Tampa Bay was out-hit 11-5 in the defeat. Zack Littell managed 5.0 innings with three earned in the start.

As starter for Saturday the Rays it’ll be Drew Rasmussen. In his lone appearance this year Rasmussen went 2.0 innings with three Ks. In his career Rasmussen is 20-10 with a 2.95 ERA in 84 games (46 starts).

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Orioles’ last nine road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Rays’ last eight games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last four games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last three games.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Dylan Carlson has hit a home run in each of his two previous appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Dylan Carlson has scored a run in each of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Rays’ last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded three or more total bases in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in five of the Rays’ last six home games against the Orioles.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 Saturday appearances with the Rays as underdogs.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Colton Cowser has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last two games against AL East opponents.
• Cedric Mullins has scored at least one run in seven of the Orioles’ last eight road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Corbin Burnes has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Ryan O’Hearn has recorded at least one hit in 20 of his last 21 road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Ryan O’Hearn has recorded at least one total base in 20 of his last 21 road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Eloy Jimenez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six Saturday night appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Corbin Burnes ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.63) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tampa Bay Rays rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (453).
• The Tampa Bay Rays rank 28th in the league for RBI’s this season (424).
• The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (181).
• The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for RBI’s this season (578).

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

I’ll probably lean toward the Orioles, but this one’s something of a coin flip. Burnes is 2-0 over his last three starts, but he’s been far from perfect in that span. He’s got nine earned runs in that time (four in his last start) combined over 19.0 innings of work. Tampa may have some early opportunities if Burnes isn’t on point.

On Friday the O’s had a pretty good offensive night overall but didn’t really start cashing in until the middle of the game. On the mound things were even better—outside of Yennier Cano’s lone earned run. I like Baltimore to keep rolling Saturday.