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St. Louis Cardinals vs NY Mets Prediction 5-6-24 Picks

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NY Mets (16-18) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (15-19)
May 6, 2024 7:45 pm EDT
The Line: St. Louis Cardinals -128 / NY Mets +109; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a St. Louis Cardinals vs NY Mets Prediction for this MLB Game on Monday, May 6th at Busch Stadium

Cardinals Have Lost Two Straight 

The Cardinals have lost two straight Games against the White Sox, and that is a great indication that it’s going to be a long season for this team. In each of the last two Games, the Cardinals have given up six runs. The Cardinals are averaging 3.54 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.39 runs per Game. The offense is ranked 24th in the league while the pitching is ranked 19th. Brendan Donovan has been the top player for the Cardinals hitting three home runs and driving in 18 RBIs. Getting the start for the Cardinals will be Kyle Gibson who sits with a 2-2 record and an ERA of 3.79. Over his last three starts, he has gone 19 innings total and given up three total runs. 

Mets Blow Game Late

The Mets have disappointed this season, and they didn’t look great late on Sunday. In the bottom of the 9th they gave up a run, and they ended up giving two runs in the top of the 10th. Francisco Lindor did have a solid Game, hitting a home run and driving in two RBIs.  The Mets are averaging 4.36 runs, while their pitching is giving up is giving up 4.27 runs per Game. The offense is ranked 17th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 16th. The offense for this team has been inconsistent, and they are going to need the offense to get out to a fast start here. The Mets will face the Braves and Phillies after this series.

Lindor Has Been an X-Factor

Francisco Lindor has hit seven home runs and driven in 21 RBIs. Getting the start for the Mets will be Sean Manaea who sits with a 1-1 record and an ERA of 3.07. In his last start against the Cubs he went five innings giving up three hits and one run. 

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Kyle Gibson Record this season: 2-2 ERA: 3.79
  • The Mets have lost seven of their last eight road games after going to extra innings.
  • The home team has won each of the Mets’ last four games.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last six night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last six night games following a loss.
  • The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Mets.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 3.07
  • The Mets have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against the Cardinals following a road loss.
  • The Cardinals have lost each of their last three games as favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last five night games against the Cardinals at Busch Stadium following a loss.
  • The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games against the Mets at Busch Stadium following a loss.
  • The Cardinals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games as home favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as home favorites against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Mets’ last six night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the Cardinals’ last eight night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four road games against National League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last three games as favorites against National League opponents.

St. Louis Cardinals vs NY Mets Prediction

What Gibson has done in his last three starts has been impressive, and he’s going to continue that success here. In the last 19 innings, he has given up three total runs. Manaea has also been good, and in his last start he gave up only one run. Both of the offenses are going to have some major issues getting going and that will be the difference here as this Game is going to stay under the total. Back the under to cash here. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Under

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