The St. Louis Cardinals (0-2) and Los Angeles Dodgers (3-1) play the 3rd contest of a 4-Game set Saturday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Dodgers lead 2-0
The Cardinals have struggled to plate runs, posting just 4 runs on offense, while the pitching has conceded 13 runs. St. Louis definitely hasn’t gotten off on the right foot.
The Dodgers have posted 3 victories in 4 games, scoring at least 5 runs in each outing, including 6.5 runs per game in 2 home dates at Chavez Ravine so far this season. The Over and Under has alternated in each of the 4 outings.
Cardinals at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Lance Lynn vs. RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Lynn (13-11, 5.73 ERA) made 32 starts in 2023 with the Dodgers. He posted a 1.39 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 183 2/3 innings.
- 2023 road splits: 7-6, 6.07 ERA (92 IP, 62 ER — 26 HR), 39 BB, 94 K in 16 starts
- 2023 night game splits: 10-7, 5.40 ERA (133 1/3 IP, 80 ER — 31 HR), 47 BB, 127 K in 23 starts
Yamamoto (0-1, 45.00 ERA) made his major league debut March 21
- Allowed 5 ER, 4 H, 1 BB with 2 K in just 1 IP vs. Padres in South Korea
- Yamamoto relies on 4 pitches: Four-Seamer (32.6%), Cutter (25.6%), Curveball (23.3%) and Split-Finger (18.6%)
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Cardinals at Dodgers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Dodgers -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-110) | Dodgers -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Cardinals at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Cardinals 7, Dodgers 6
Moneyline
The CARDINALS (+185) are a solid value for the chance to nearly double up against the rookie Yamamoto. He was crushed by the Padres in his debut in Seoul, and he was mostly a disaster in spring training. Until Yamamoto starts to settle in and show he can pitch effectively in the majors, keep fading the Dodgers when he is on the bump.
Run line/Against the spread
The CARDINALS +1.5 (-110) aren’t a bad play if you’d like a little bit of insurance, and you can’t play St. Louis straight up on the moneyline. The Cards have had difficulty scoring runs to date, but they should be able to rack up some offense against the shaky Yamamoto.
Over/Under
OVER 8.5 (-105) is the way to go.
Lynn was an absolute disaster last season, as the veteran had tremendous difficulty keeping the ball in the park when he was with the Dodgers. Time will tell if he can get his form back, and limit the home runs.
Yamamoto didn’t last long in his debut, recording just 3 total outs while coughing up 5 runs. With 2 shaky pitchers on the hill, we should see plenty of scoring.
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