MLB

Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 7-3-24 Picks

Published

4m ago

Jul 04, 2024 / 3377 Views

Evan Walker

Baltimore Orioles (54-31) vs. Seattle Mariners (47-40)
July 3, 2024 10:10 pm EDT
The Line: Seattle Mariners -103 / Baltimore Orioles -115; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Baltimore Orioles and Seattle Mariners meet Wednesday in MLB Game 3 action at T-Mobile Park. Here’s a Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction. This article will include a Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Pick.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 54-31 on the year after games against the Guardians and Rangers. The Baltimore Orioles have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 8 games. The Baltimore Orioles have lost 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Adley Rutschman leads the Baltimore Orioles with 95 hits and 55 RBI, while Gunnar Henderson and Jordan Westburg have combined for 179 hits and 106 RBI.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 47-40 on the year after Games against the Rays and Twins. The Seattle Mariners have scored 4 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 4 straight Games. The Seattle Mariners have lost 8 of their last 9 Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 83 hits and 29 RBI, while Josh Rojas and Ty France have combined for 119 hits and 45 RBI.

Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Pick Matchup

Dean Kremer gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 3-4 with a 4.32 ERA and 49 strikeouts this season. Kremer has allowed 11 hits and 8 earned runs in his last 15.2 innings. This will be Kremer’s first Game since May 20 after dealing with a triceps issue. Kremer is 0-0 with a 3.13 ERA and 17 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.

Logan Gilbert gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 5-4 with a 2.72 ERA and 102 strikeouts this season. Gilbert has allowed 21 hits and 6 earned runs in his last 35.2 innings. Gilbert has a 2.70 ERA and .184 allowed batting average in 53.1 home innings. This will be Gilbert’s second career Game against the Baltimore Orioles.

Why the Seattle Mariners will Beat the Orioles

The Orioles have lost each of their last seven night games at T-Mobile Park following a win.
The Mariners have won nine of their last 10 night games at T-Mobile Park following a loss.
The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Mariners following a road win.
The Mariners have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against the Orioles following a home loss.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against AL East opponents.
Jorge Polanco has recorded an RBI in three of his last four home appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.
Josh Rojas has recorded at least one Single in seven of his eight previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL East opponents.
Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
Mitch Garver has scored a run in five of his last six appearances against AL East opponents.
Logan Gilbert ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.72) this season.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last four games against the Mariners.
Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Orioles’ last six games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles’ last 12 games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Dean Kremer has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Orioles as underdogs against AL West opponents.
Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for hits this season (613).
The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (113).
The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (139).
The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for RBI’s this season (429).

Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

It’s hard to get behind the Orioles with Dean Kremer given he hasn’t pitched in over a month. We need to see Kremer on the mound and potentially knock rust off before we can back him with confidence. Besides, Logan Gilbert has looked like an all star this season with an ERA under 3 on the year, and he’s allowing a .184 batting average at home. The Mariners are the safer pick in Game 2, and it’s even better at this cheap price. Give me the M’s.