The Toronto Blue Jays (4-6) welcome the Seattle Mariners (4-6) to Rogers Centre Monday. First pitch to kick off the 3-Game series is set for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; teams split 6 games last season
The Blue Jays lost 2 straight games against the New York Yankees after winning the opener on Friday. They lost 8-3 to close that series Sunday. Toronto has yet to play at home and sits last in the American League East. It is 5-5 against the spread (ATS) this season.
The Mariners have lost 4 of their last 5. They lost 2 of 3 to the Brewers in their last series, dropping the final game 12-4 Sunday. Seattle is 1-2 on the road and 3-7 ATS on the season. It sits 3rd in the American League West.
Mariners at Blue Jays projected starters
RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Jose Berrios
Castillo (0-2, 6.75 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.78 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 10 2/3 IP.
- Last outing: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 5-2 home loss to the Cleveland Guardians on April 2
- Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-1, 3.27 ERA (11 IP, 4 ER), 13 H, 2 BB, 9 K
Berrios (1-0, 2.25 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 12 IP.
- Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 2-1 road win over the Houston Astros on April 2
- Career vs. Mariners: 3-2, 3.27 ERA (44 IP, 16 ER), 45 H, 9 BB, 45 K
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Mariners at Blue Jays odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:56 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mariners +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Blue Jays -118 (bet $118 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+158) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-192)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -118 | U: -104)
Mariners at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 4, Mariners 3
Moneyline
BET BLUE JAYS (-118).
The Blue Jays were 43-38 at home a season ago, and they should get a boost with this being their home opener. Toronto has lost 2 in a row, but has scored 11 runs over its last 2 games.
Berrios has been terrific to start the season, and the Blue Jays have won 8-2 and 2-1 in his 2 starts. The Mariners have lost 4 of their last 5 and have allowed at least 5 runs in both Games which Castillo started.
Considering those trends, take BLUE JAYS (-118).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There’s no value in taking the Mariners -1.5 (+158), who have been an underdog in all but 1 game, as a run-line favorite. Similarly, the Blue Jays +1.5 (-192) are too expensive on the run line to play here.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 8 (-104).
The Blue Jays might be 6-3 O/U on the season, but they have allowed just 3 runs in the 2 Games that Berrios has started. They have also gone Under in 2 of their last 4 Games.
While the opposite of that success can be said for Castillo, he is still among the premier pitchers in the game and should be able to figure things out. The Mariners are 5-4-1 O/U this season but have yet to score more than 5 in a game. They have scored 2 or fewer in 4 of their last 9.
Considering the trends for both pitchers, take UNDER 8 (-104).
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