The Seattle Mariners (71-70) and St. Louis Cardinals (71-69) open up a 3-game series Friday at Busch Stadium at 8:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Mariners won 2-1 last year
The M’s won the final 2 games to split the 4-game series at the Oakland A’s. That snapped a 4-game losing streak. The Mariners won 6-4 Thursday as OF Julio Rodriguez hit his 14th homer of the season. He has failed to mash all year, but he has parked 3 balls since Aug. 28. They remain 4½ out in the AL West.
The Cards had Thursday off after taking 2 of 3 from the division-leading Milwaukee Brewers. It took 5 months to happen, but 1B Paul Goldschmidt is finally looking like a pigment of his former self. He’s hitting .438 with 2 homers, 8 doubles and 9 RBIs over the last 15 days for a 1.200 OPS. Despite winning 6 of their last 8, the Cards haven’t gained much ground and remain 5 games out of a Wild Card berth.
Mariners at Cardinals projected starters
RHP Bryce Miller vs. RHP Erick Fedde
Miller (10-8, 3.30 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 155 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 3-2 setback Sunday at Los Angeles Angels
- Has never faced Cardinals
- Road/Home splits: 4-5, 4.82 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 in 13 road GS; 6-3, 2.03 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 14 home GS
Fedde (8-8, 3.43 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 154 2/3 IP with the Chicago White Sox and Cardinals.
- Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 6-3 defeat Aug. 30 at New York Yankees
- Two GS vs. Mariners this year: 0-1, 11 IP, 4 ER (3.27 ERA), 11 H, 3 BB, 8 K
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Mariners at Cardinals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mariners -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Cardinals -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+165) | Cardinals +1.5 (-200)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
Mariners at Cardinals picks and predictions
Prediction
Cardinals 3, Mariners 2
Moneyline
Fedde hasn’t been very good with the Cards, but he has been good at home. In 2 GS, he has allowed 3 ER in 10 2/3 IP (2.53 ERA) at Busch. The Cards’ pen is rested after the off-day, and I expect this to be a tight one. The Cards are 26-18 in 1-run Games, and the M’s are 23-24. Take the CARDINALS -110.
Run line/Against the spread
This one is a no-brainer here. Goldy has hit safely in 11 straight Games and at one point had an 8-Game double streak. Take PAUL GOLDSCHMIDT OVER 0.5 TOTAL BASES (-165).
Over/Under
It’s slated to be 75 degrees with a 14-mph wind blowing in from left-center. The Cards are tied for 18th at 4.2 R/game, and the M’s are just behind tied for 25th at 4.1. So we have 2 weak offenses with a severe breeze blowing in.
Take the UNDER 7.5 (-120).
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