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San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 9-5-24 MLB Picks

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Arizona Diamondbacks (78-61) vs. San Francisco Giants (68-71)
September 5, 2024 3:45 pm EDT
The Line: San Francisco Giants -145 / Arizona Diamondbacks +122; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Arizona Diamondbacks and San Francisco Giants meet Thursday in MLB Game 3 action at Oracle Park. Here’s a San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction. This article will include a San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pick.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 79-61 on the year and play the Astros and Rangers next. The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored 20 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 6 straight Games. The Arizona Diamondbacks have won 9 of their last 12 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 133 hits and 70 RBI while Ketel Marte and Corbin Carroll have combined for 248 hits and 146 RBI.

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 68-72 on the year and play the Padres and Brewers next. The San Francisco Giants have scored 16 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 Games. The San Francisco Giants have lost 4 of their last 6 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Matt Chapman leads the San Francisco Giants with 126 hits and 69 RBI while Heliot Ramos and Mike Yastrzemski have combined for 193 hits and 112 RBI.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants Pitching Pick Matchup

Merrill Kelly gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 4-0 with a 4.30 ERA and 33 strikeouts this season. Kelly has allowed 28 hits and 16 earned runs in his last 21.1 innings. Kelly has a 6.35 ERA and a .318 allowed batting average in 17 road innings. Kelly is 7-5 with a 3.34 ERA and 87 strikeouts in his career against the San Francisco Giants.

Blake Snell gets the ball for the San Francisco Giants, and he is 2-3 with a 3.56 ERA and 114 strikeouts this season. Snell has allowed 16 hits and 7 runs in his last 38.1 innings. Snell has a 2.83 ERA and a .185 allowed batting average in 47.2 home innings. Snell is 5-2 with a 1.86 ERA and 73 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The Diamondbacks have won each of their last 11 games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Giants have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games following a road win.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Thursday-day home games against NL West opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in each of their last three games against the Giants.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Heliot Ramos has recorded at least one Double in three of the Giants’ last four-day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against the Diamondbacks.
  • Blake Snell has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances with the Giants as favorites.
  • Casey Schmitt has hit at least one home run in each of his last three appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Mike Yastrzemski has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Giants as favorites against NL West opponents.
  • Casey Schmitt has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Jung Hoo Lee has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances against NL opponents.
  • Jung Hoo Lee has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Bell has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL West opponents.
  • Merrill Kelly has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Eugenio Suarez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Diamondbacks’ last seven games as underdogs.
  • Corbin Carroll has scored at least one run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last 14 games against NL West opponents.
  • Merrill Kelly has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Diamondbacks as road underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Ketel Marte has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances with the Diamondbacks as road underdogs against NL West opponents.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 appearances against the Giants.
  • Pavin Smith has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against the Giants.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against the Giants.

San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

The San Francisco Giants are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home and Blake Snell is on the hill. Snell has been one of the best pitchers in baseball over the last couple of months, and he’s done his best work at home. Merrill Kelly is far and away less trustworthy, especially with his numbers on the road. With all that said, the Diamondbacks are still the better team overall, and they’re still in the thick of the playoff/division race. There’s value with the Diamondbacks and the plus money. I’ll take it. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +122

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